Trading weekly alpha patterns
The Stock Trends RSI +/- Pattern Analysis Model informs investors about probable outcomes based on market outperformance and underperformance. Learn about the Pattern Profit Factor ...
30 Apr
The Stock Trends RSI +/- Pattern Analysis Model informs investors about probable outcomes based on market outperformance and underperformance. Learn about the Pattern Profit Factor ...
03 Sep
The S&P 500 index is a size factor-based index that is not a good benchmark for measuring alpha (market intelligence). Naive portfolios generated by random sampling provide a better alpha benchmark.
23 Jan
23 Jan
Analysis of the Picks of the Week and ST-IM Select stocks reports shows the returns of the past year matched the expected returns.
24 Apr
The Stock Trends Slots game engages users by generating random sets of stocks and matching combinations of their Stock Trends indicators.
23 Apr
The Stock Trends Inference Model Select stocks report features stocks that have positive return expectations. This week's report includes the SPDR S&P 500 Metals & Mining ETF ( $XME).
10 Apr
There may be a swell in stocks categorized as Stock Trends Bullish in the coming weeks, but the moment is not yet here for investors to consider the current bearish sentiment left for dead.
06 Mar
Investors must navigate uncertainty more than they understand, and much more than they want. Behind the curtain always lurks chance, no matter how smart you are.
22 Jun
Systematic traders understand that without the integrity of data science, they are simply ticker tape cowboys.
03 May
The Stock Trends Inference Model analysis of Twitter (TWTR) presents a discouraging intermediate-term outlook.
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The recent Stock Trends editorials have established that the current market is not defined by a unified directional regime. Instead, it is characterized by internal dispersion, where leadership is fragmented across sectors, industries, and individual securities. The latest dataset reinforces that conclusion. But more importantly, it reveals a structural shift beneath the surface: forward return probabilities are no longer tightly coupled to traditional trend classifications.
The broad market still reads as a rotation market rather than a generalized expansion phase. Energy, Materials, and Utilities remain the clearest sector-level leadership blocs, but the current Stock Trends dataset shows that a second layer of leadership is now becoming more visible beneath the sector averages. That secondary leadership is important because it does not present itself as broad participation. It appears instead through specific industry groups whose internal trend structure is materially stronger than that of their parent sectors. In this week’s data, the clearest examples are Semiconductors and Equipment, Telecommunications, Containers & Packaging, and Banking.
The case for indexing continues to strengthen, and rightly so. The evidence is overwhelming: most active managers fail to outperform their benchmarks over time, and the costs of attempting to do so only compound the underperformance. For many investors, indexing has become not just a strategy, but the default solution. But the conclusion that often follows—that markets cannot be meaningfully outperformed—is where the interpretation begins to break down. The failure of traditional active management is not evidence that opportunity does not exist. It is evidence that non-probabilistic selection fails.
The current market is not offering investors the kind of broad speculative expansion that often defines the early phase of a powerful advance. Nor is it confirming a simple risk-off breakdown. The latest Stock Trends dataset points to something more disciplined. The probability structure remains constructive, but it is now being expressed primarily through continuation and consolidation rather than broad breakout expansion. $19.95/Month
Monthly subscription plan to Stock Trends Weekly Reporter - pay your monthly subscription fees by having them automatically charged (PayPal only). Free 7-day trial period. Subscribers may cancel before the end of any subscription month.
$199/Year
1 Year Prepaid subscription to Stock Trends Weekly Reporter. Save 16% off monthly rate!
$299/2 Years
2 Year Prepaid subscription to Stock Trends Weekly Reporter. Save 37% off monthly rate!
$399/3 Years
3 Year Prepaid subscription to Stock Trends Weekly Reporter. Save 44% off monthly rate!