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Top Traders Unplugged
Feb 21, 2026 | 05:00 am
Today Alan and Mark step back from the noise to examine a market environment that feels subtly but meaningfully different. From AI euphoria giving way to harder questions, to gold’s steady rise and a surprising divergence between US and emerging market inflation, the conversation centers on rotation, uncertainty, and shifting assumptions about safety. They explore whether Treasuries still anchor portfolios the way they once did, how fiscal pressures could reshape monetary policy, and why regime thinking matters for systematic investors. Beneath it all is a reminder that correlations change, narratives evolve, and adaptability remains the most durable edge in uncertain markets.-----50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE-----Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.comAnd please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people[…]
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We Study Billionaires - The Investor’s Podcast Network
Feb 20, 2026 | 01:00 am
Clay explores Daniel Kahneman’s book Thinking, Fast and Slow, unpacking the cognitive biases that quietly shape our investment decisions. While markets often appear to be driven by data and logic, our decisions are frequently influenced by intuition, emotions, and mental shortcuts we don’t even realize we’re using. IN THIS EPISODE YOU’LL LEARN: 00:00:00 - Intro 00:04:15 - Why temperament matters more than IQ in investing 00:11:10 - The difference between System 1 and System 2 thinking 00:16:01 - How cognitive substitution leads investors to answer the wrong questions and unknowingly ignore the more important questions 00:38:08 - How loss aversion shapes investor behavior during drawdowns and market volatility 00:54:01 - Clay’s updated views on Constellation Software Disclaimer: Slight discrepancies in the timestamps may occur due to podcast platform differences. BOOKS AND RESOURCES Join the exclusive TIP Mastermind Community to engage in meaningful stock investing discussions with Stig, Clay, Kyle, and the other community members. Learn how to join us in Omaha for the Berkshire meeting here. Daniel Kahneman’s book: Thinking Fast & Slow. Sequoia Fund’s 2025 year-end letter. Follow Clay on X and LinkedIn. Related books mentioned in the podcast. Ad-free episodes on our Premium Feed. NEW TO THE SHOW? Get smarter about valuing[…]
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Infinite Loops
Feb 19, 2026 | 11:00 am
Fresh off releasing one of the most beautiful hardcover books we've ever seen, Paul Millerd returns alongside Infinite Books CEO Jimmy Soni for a deep dive into the broken incentives of traditional publishing, why the industry breeds "cynicism at scale," and how the internet is powering a second Renaissance for creators. We get into what it means to build a creative life on your own terms, the Taoist approach to growing an audience, how to navigate financial uncertainty while raising a family, and why seemingly boring daily routines fuel extraordinary creative work. I hope you enjoy this conversation as much as I did. For the full transcript, episode takeaways, and bucketloads of other goodies designed to make you go, "Hmm, that's interesting!," check out our Substack. Important Links: Paul's Website Paul's X Paul's Substack The Pathless Path Premium Hardcover Good Work Infinite Books Jimmy's X Show Notes: Make Books Beautiful Why Paul Turned Down Penguin Creative Work Should Inspire More Creative Work Cynicism at Scale in the Publishing Industry The Long Tail of Book Marketing Why Paul Launched a Hardcover Pathless Path Dre, Spielberg & Chappelle: Design Your Own System Playing Probabilistic Games How to Live a Pathless Life With a Family The Creative Perks[…]
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Top Traders Unplugged
Feb 18, 2026 | 05:00 am
The global order is shifting in plain sight. In this Global Macro conversation, Steen Jakobsen, inventor of the Outrages Predictions, joins Niels Kaastrup-Larsen and Alan Dunne to examine the slow grind reshaping productivity, debt, currencies, and political stability. From dollar regime risk to state capitalism, from market concentration to commodity repricing, the discussion moves beyond headlines to structural fault lines. Is gold signaling debasement? Can the U.S. sustain its debt path? Does AI lift productivity or hollow it out? Rather than predict collapse, Jakobsen outlines a drawn-out transition where capital reallocates, volatility hides beneath the surface, and political systems are tested long before markets finally react.-----50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE-----Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.comAnd please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review[…]
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We Study Billionaires - The Investor’s Podcast Network
Feb 18, 2026 | 01:00 am
Alex Gladstein and Justin Moon break down the fundamentals of large language models and explore the rise of OpenClaw as a self-sovereign AI assistant. Justin explains context engineering, local inference, and vibe coding, while Alex dives into the AI for Individual Rights program and its mission to empower activists. IN THIS EPISODE YOU’LL LEARN: 00:00:00 - Intro 00:04:12 - What Large Language Models (LLMs) are and how they differ from traditional programs 00:05:15 - Why AI feels like magic—and what’s really happening under the hood 00:06:01 - The key differences between open and closed AI models 00:06:50 - Why capital structures influence AI model openness 00:09:09 - How persistent memory enhances AI agent performance 00:12:18 - What inference means and why context is a scarce resource 00:19:32 - How AI agents combine traditional software with LLM reasoning 00:21:10 - The evolution from MCP-style systems to skills-based context engineering 00:25:41 - What “vibe coding” is and how it lowers the barrier to building apps 00:44:07 - How the AI for Individual Rights program supports activist-driven innovation Disclaimer: Slight discrepancies in the timestamps may occur due to podcast platform differences. BOOKS AND RESOURCES Oslo Freedom Forum: Website. Justin: Nostr account. Related episode: […]
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Michael Covel's Trend Following
Feb 16, 2026 | 03:00 am
Please enjoy my monologue Men Can't Make Babies and the Zero Sum Game with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio. This episode may also include great outside guests from my archive. --- I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show. To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/ You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/ Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast My social media platforms: Twitter: @covel Facebook: @trendfollowing LinkedIn: @covel Instagram: @mikecovel Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!
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We Study Billionaires - The Investor’s Podcast Network
Feb 15, 2026 | 01:00 am
Kyle Grieve discusses how a series of unforgettable real-world stories reveal the hidden psychological traps that derail investors. IN THIS EPISODE YOU’LL LEARN: 00:00:00 - Intro 00:03:07 - How Ronaldo’s Coke incident reveals the danger of false cause and effect 00:07:44 - Why patience in investing can beat the urge to stay busy 00:09:21 - How Muhammad Ali showed the power of waiting for the perfect moment 00:12:54 - Why Bobby Bonilla’s contract exposes the time value of money 00:16:02 - How the Madoff scandal proves great results can hide massive fraud 00:22:09 - Why Isaac Newton’s failure reveals how FOMO traps even the smartest minds 00:27:17 - How Hetty Green shows the strength of buying value when others won’t 00:36:23 - What the long SPAC history warns us about hype repeating through time 00:47:33 - How relying on autopilot in markets can quietly lead you into danger 00:52:06 - Why inflation acts like a silent force pushing your spending power backward Disclaimer: Slight discrepancies in the timestamps may occur due to podcast platform differences. BOOKS AND RESOURCES Join the exclusive TIP Mastermind Community to engage in meaningful stock investing discussions with Stig, Clay, Kyle, and the other community members.[…]
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Top Traders Unplugged
Feb 14, 2026 | 05:00 am
Today, we examine a year that looked chaotic but felt familiar to trend followers. Gold surged, equities rotated globally, and non-US markets quietly gained momentum. Yet beneath strong returns lies a deeper debate about model design, short versus long horizon signals, and whether innovation in liquid alternatives serves investors or sales desks. From AI disruption to product engineering and allocator behavior, this episode explores where systematic strategies truly create value and where structural incentives distort outcomes. In a changing macro regime, clarity of purpose may matter more than ever.-----50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE-----Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.comAnd please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.Follow Andrew on Twitter.Episode TimeStamps: 00:00 - Introducing the[…]
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We Study Billionaires - The Investor’s Podcast Network
Feb 13, 2026 | 01:00 am
Clay breaks down his best quality stock idea for Q1 2026: Visa. Visa is a global payments network that operates as a toll booth on commerce. Visa is one of the most durable and capital-light business models in the world. IN THIS EPISODE YOU’LL LEARN: 00:00:00 - Intro 00:02:48 - How Visa fits into Dev Kantesaria’s investing strategy 00:08:55 - The history of how Visa became the giant, ubiquitous network we all know of today 00:12:21 - Visa’s role as an information network that avoids all card issuance and lending risk 00:25:08 - A side-by-side comparison of Visa versus its primary competitors, Mastercard and American Express 00:29:40 - The future of the $200 trillion dollar "New Flows" market and the rise of AI-driven agentic commerce 00:34:41 - An analysis of Visa’s pristine financial profile, featuring 60% operating margins and low capital intensity 00:46:54 - A look at valuation level, the primary risks, and much more! Disclaimer: Slight discrepancies in the timestamps may occur due to podcast platform differences. BOOKS AND RESOURCES Join the exclusive TIP Mastermind Community to engage in meaningful stock investing discussions with Stig, Clay, Kyle, and the other community members. Learn how to join us in Omaha[…]
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Infinite Loops
Feb 12, 2026 | 13:20 pm
Packy McCormick is one of the most thoughtful writers in tech and investing. In this episode of Infinite Loops, we talk about why writing is still the most powerful way to think clearly, how optimism becomes rational when you spend time with people actually building things, and what happens when the internet punishes you for being early and wrong. Important Links: Packy McCormick on Optimism: https://www.notboring.co/p/optimism The Internet Contrarian: https://www.osam.com/pdfs/research/The%20Internet%20Contrarian.pdf Elliot Herschberg on GitLab Founder and Cancer: https://www.notboring.co/p/the-builder-cancer-problem Ben Thompson's Aggregation Theory: https://stratechery.com/aggregation-theory/
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Top Traders Unplugged
Feb 11, 2026 | 05:00 am
A familiar portfolio map is being redrawn. Ian Harnett traces the regime shift from disinflation and reliable bond hedges to a world where inflation pressures linger, supply chains shorten, and capital becomes a policy tool. The conversation moves from China’s exported deflation to Europe’s structural constraints, then into America’s strategy of attracting investment with tariff leverage. Beneath it all sits a political question: what happens if the governing coalition fractures ahead of the midterms. Harnett argues that is the moment the dollar turns from anchor to risk.-----50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE-----Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.comAnd please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.Follow Alan on LinkedIn.Follow Ian on LinkedIn.Episode TimeStamps: 00:00 - The[…]
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We Study Billionaires - The Investor’s Podcast Network
Feb 11, 2026 | 01:00 am
Jeff Booth, Jack, and Nick explore a year-long paper linking Bitcoin to fundamental physics, framing Bitcoin blocks as discrete, quantized units of time. They connect concepts from quantum mechanics and entropy to Bitcoin’s design, argue that its finite, discrete structure may be incompatible with quantum computing threats, and close with plans to experimentally test a Bitcoin miner’s interaction with zero-point energy in a physics lab in Chamonix. IN THIS EPISODE YOU’LL LEARN: 00:00:00 - Intro 00:02:46 - Bitcoin blocks as quantized units of time challenging the continuous-time assumption in modern physics 00:07:26 - The self-referential problem of time in physics and why time cannot be tested outside of itself 00:13:34 - Parallels between Bitcoin’s mempool and quantum superposition as pre-measurement potential states 00:14:43 - How Bitcoin’s UTXO model separates measurement from observation in a way physics cannot 00:31:13 - Bridging Boltzmann entropy and Shannon entropy through Bitcoin’s finite state space and mining process 00:37:47 - Bitcoin’s 21 million supply cap as a physical boundary analogous to Planck temperature 00:42:26 - Why Bitcoin’s discrete time model may be fundamentally incompatible with quantum computing attacks 01:02:32 - Plans to test a Bitcoin miner’s interaction with zero-point energy at a physics lab in[…]
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Michael Covel's Trend Following
Feb 9, 2026 | 03:00 am
Please enjoy my monologue Trend Following Motivation with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio. This episode may also include great outside guests from my archive. --- I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show. To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/ You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/ Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast My social media platforms: Twitter: @covel Facebook: @trendfollowing LinkedIn: @covel Instagram: @mikecovel Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!
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Top Traders Unplugged
Feb 7, 2026 | 05:00 am
Today, we are joined by Rob Carver to unpack one of the most volatile weeks seen in commodity markets in years. The conversation centers on silver’s sharp rise and sudden collapse, using it as a case study in volatility targeting, liquidity risk, and disciplined position sizing. From Freaky Friday to broader dislocations across assets, they examine why systematic risk management matters when markets move faster than narratives. The discussion expands into diversification, correlation assumptions, alternative markets, and new research on trend portfolio construction, offering a grounded reminder that survival often matters more than precision.-----50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE-----Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.comAnd please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.Follow Rob on Twitter.Episode[…]
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Infinite Loops
Feb 5, 2026 | 13:30 pm
What happens when you design a company assuming AI should do everything it possibly can? Jean-Marc Daecius, OSV's Chief of Staff, joins Infinite Loops to explain what it means to be "AI first" — and why he believes he may be the company's last human chief of staff. The conversation explores how AI can remove meaningless cognitive load, protect deep work, and unlock creative leverage — from reshuffling priorities and filtering email, to reinventing publishing, agriculture, education, and even how we discover books, movies, and ideas. Important links: Substack: https://newsletter.osv.llc/ Jean Marc's "The Future of Food": https://newsletter.osv.llc/p/the-future-of-food
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Michael Covel's Trend Following
Feb 2, 2026 | 03:00 am
Please enjoy my monologue Size It Right with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio. This episode may also include great outside guests from my archive. --- I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show. To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/ You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/ Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast My social media platforms: Twitter: @covel Facebook: @trendfollowing LinkedIn: @covel Instagram: @mikecovel Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!
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Infinite Loops
Jan 29, 2026 | 13:30 pm
The Queens Night Market is one of New York City's most beloved institutions — but it was never supposed to last more than a year. John Wang, founder of the Queens Night Market, joins Infinite Loops to explain how a side project with a "terrible business model" unexpectedly became one of the most celebrated food markets in the world. From leaving a traditional legal career to imposing a strict price cap in one of the most expensive cities on earth, John shares how the market evolved into a cultural institution representing more than 100 countries through food. Important links: Substack: https://newsletter.osv.llc/ Queens Night Market: https://queensnightmarket.com/
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Michael Covel's Trend Following
Jan 26, 2026 | 03:00 am
Please enjoy my monologue Excitement is Expensive with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio. This episode may also include great outside guests from my archive. --- I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show. To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/ You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/ Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast My social media platforms: Twitter: @covel Facebook: @trendfollowing LinkedIn: @covel Instagram: @mikecovel Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!
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Infinite Loops
Jan 22, 2026 | 13:30 pm
Cliff Asness — co-founder, managing principal, and chief investment officer at AQR Capital Management — is one of the most influential quantitative investors of the last 30 years. He's also one of the most candid. In this conversation, Cliff joins Infinite Loops to talk about why losses hurt more than wins, how bubbles form, why modern investing increasingly resembles gambling, and what the dot-com era can teach us about today's markets. Important links: Substack: https://newsletter.osv.llc/ Cliff's Perspectives: https://www.aqr.com/Insights/Perspectives Cliff's X: https://x.com/CliffordAsness
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Michael Covel's Trend Following
Jan 19, 2026 | 03:00 am
Please enjoy my monologue The White Lotus with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio. This episode may also include great outside guests from my archive. --- I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show. To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/ You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/ Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast My social media platforms: Twitter: @covel Facebook: @trendfollowing LinkedIn: @covel Instagram: @mikecovel Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!
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Systematic Trend Following: A Retail Trader's Guide
May 20, 2020 | 14:00 pm
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Systematic Trend Following: A Retail Trader's Guide
May 20, 2020 | 02:00 am
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Systematic Trend Following: A Retail Trader's Guide
May 20, 2020 | 02:00 am
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Systematic Trend Following: A Retail Trader's Guide
Apr 7, 2020 | 00:00 am
We talk about some of the basics to futures with the retail trend follower in mind using crude oil as an example market. Contract structure, sizing, expirations, and rolling from contract to contract is covered. If you would like a copy of the presentation leave your preferred email in the comments. We reference Eurodollars a couple of times in this video but decided to split that off into another video so be sure to check that one out for more info.https://youtu.be/pQI1ZL_zNoYhttps://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLiWGC9_PMsWPohL8S6ceoOn3WWoq__ZB3
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Systematic Trend Following: A Retail Trader's Guide
Apr 7, 2020 | 00:00 am
**CHARTS ARE USED DURING THIS EXAMPLE/CONTENT. CONSIDER VIEWING THE YOUTUBE VIDEO FOR THIS**A follow up from Seth and myself's Q&A video yesterday. Much more to come and expand on this, but it visualizes a systematic, yet not automated, process. This process includes a complete strategy, although very basic and simple in nature, it is the foundation for so much of the beliefs and practices of Trend Followers.https://youtu.be/NXKs_fJd3gshttps://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLiWGC9_PMsWPohL8S6ceoOn3WWoq__ZB3
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