To be a successful investor it is important to be constantly expanding the mind. Systematic Investors need to understand themselves as much as the markets. Fortunately, there are many podcasts presented by enlightened professionals in the investment space. Here are some recommended podcasts for trend-following and systematic investors. Learn and Enjoy!
Trend Following and Systematic Investing Podcasts
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TIP804: Kinsale Capital Stock Deep Dive w/ Clay Finck & Daniel Mahncke
We Study Billionaires - The Investor’s Podcast Network Apr 3, 2026 | 00:00 amOn today's episode, Clay is joined by Daniel Mahncke to break down Kinsale Capital. Kinsale is a specialty insurer that has quietly become one of the most exceptional businesses in the financial sector by dominating the Excess & Surplus insurance market. Clay and Daniel break down the DNA of this wonderful business, and if the recent drawdown in the stock is a compelling opportunity for value investors. IN THIS EPISODE YOU’LL LEARN: 00:00:00 - Intro 00:03:32 - An overview of the insurance industry and how Kinsale fits into the bigger picture 00:17:32 - The durable competitive advantages that Kinsale has built 00:20:19 - The advantages of keeping underwriting in-house in the Excess & Surplus market 00:35:04 - What is driving Kinsale’s incredibly low combined ratio 00:39:29 - Why it’s focus on the E&S market and smaller accounts is a moat in itself 01:07:25 - Kinsale’s valuation and primary risks to monitor for investors Disclaimer: Slight discrepancies in the timestamps may occur due to podcast platform differences. BOOKS AND RESOURCES Join the exclusive TIP Mastermind Community. Learn how to join us in Omaha for the Berkshire meeting here. Check out The Intrinsic Value Podcast. Check out The Intrinsic Value Newsletter. Check out[…]
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Johnathan Bi - Why the Best Founders Might Need a Little Delusion (Ep. 308)
Infinite Loops Apr 2, 2026 | 12:15 pmJohnathan Bi returns to Infinite Loops for a conversation about founders, delusion, America, religion, mysticism, and the strange tension between truth and action. We explore why some of the most effective builders may be the least introspective, why societies often run on useful fictions, how America encourages megalomania, what happens when materialism starts to feel incomplete, and why the "seeker" may matter even more in the age of AI. The episode moves from Plato and Caesar to founders, mystics, near-death experiences, and the future of human creativity. Important Links: Johnathan's Youtube Channel: https://www.youtube.com/@bi.johnathan Johnathan's Substack: https://substack.com/@johnathanbi
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GM98: Powerlessness Is Rising and Nobody Is Ready ft. Peter Atwater
Top Traders Unplugged Apr 1, 2026 | 04:00 amWhat happens when confidence fades and power becomes concentrated in fewer hands? Together with Peter Atwater we explore a world dividing along lines of control and vulnerability. From geopolitical conflict and energy dominance to rising inequality and generational pressure, they describe a system under strain. The discussion connects investor behavior, policymaking, and social dynamics through a single lens: confidence. As those at the top grow more assertive and those at the bottom feel increasingly powerless, tensions build in ways that history suggests rarely resolve smoothly. This is an important and timely conversation about imbalance, reaction, and what may come next.-----50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE-----Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.comAnd please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can[…]
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Ep. 1383: War Trading with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio
Michael Covel's Trend Following Mar 30, 2026 | 02:00 amPlease enjoy my monologue War Trading with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio. This episode may also include great outside guests from my archive. --- I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show. To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/ You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/ Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast My social media platforms: Twitter: @covel Facebook: @trendfollowing LinkedIn: @covel Instagram: @mikecovel Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!
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TIP803: How Economics and Art Shape Better Investors w/ Kyle Grieve
We Study Billionaires - The Investor’s Podcast Network Mar 29, 2026 | 00:00 amKyle Grieve discusses key mental models from economics and art and how they apply to investing and decision-making. He explores economic concepts such as scarcity, supply and demand, optimization, specialization, efficiency, competition, and bubbles, illustrating them with real-world business examples. Then he shifts gears to art, examining things such as audience, contrast, framing, and narrative, emphasizing how they shape investor behaviour and decision-making. IN THIS EPISODE YOU’LL LEARN: 00:00:00 - Intro 00:03:22 - How scarcity drives value and luxury brands engineer demand 00:07:40 - Why Costco wins by reducing scarcity and leveraging scale 00:09:03 - How supply and demand influence stock prices and volatility 00:10:53 - Why economic cycles impact nearly all businesses over time 00:12:38 - How COVID reshaped demand across industries and markets 00:14:19 - The risks of cyclical investing and the benefits of steady compounders 00:15:34 - How optimization can backfire in business and biology 00:19:49 - Why specialization has trade-offs and why investing legends often stay generalists 00:29:58 - The tension between competition, monopolies, and market structure 00:35:14 - How bubbles form through demand surges and investor psychology 00:38:45 - Why great management teams leverage audience building to build the right type of shareholder base 00:43:34[…]
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SI393: The Illusion of Control in Modern Markets ft. Yoav Git
Top Traders Unplugged Mar 28, 2026 | 04:00 amMarkets often appear logical in hindsight, yet behave unpredictably in real time. In this episode, Niels and Yoav explore how recent events, from geopolitical shocks to shifting narratives, reveal the limits of traditional explanations. They discuss why assets like gold and bonds no longer react as expected, how flows and positioning can dominate price action, and why dispersion across managers increases during periods of stress. The conversation also examines the role of machine learning, the impact of volatility on execution, and the challenges of managing risk in fast moving markets. At its core, this is about navigating uncertainty when structure and narrative begin to diverge.-----50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE-----Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.comAnd please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or[…]
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TIP802: When Genius Was Just Luck: The Go-Go Years w/ Kyle Grieve
We Study Billionaires - The Investor’s Podcast Network Mar 27, 2026 | 00:00 amIn today’s episode, Kyle Grieve discusses the speculative boom of the 1960s “Go-Go Years” as presented in John Brooks’ book, highlighting the dangers of euphoria, leverage, and financial engineering. He explores case studies like Ross Perot, Edward Gilbert, Atlantic Acceptance, and Gerry Tsai to reveal how incentives, momentum, and fraud can distort markets. The episode ultimately emphasizes timeless investing lessons around valuation discipline, skepticism, and aligning incentives with long-term outcomes. IN THIS EPISODE YOU’LL LEARN: 00:00:00 - Intro 00:02:02 - About the Nifty Fifty’s rise and the dangers of extreme valuation multiples 00:03:34 - Why great businesses can still be poor investments at high prices 00:05:07 - About Ross Perot’s EDS and the psychology of ignoring market volatility 00:09:45 - The dangers of leverage through Edward Gilbert’s collapse 00:16:13 - Why sharing stock ideas can create unintended consequences 00:19:32 - How fraud fueled Atlantic Acceptance’s explosive growth 00:29:17 - Why rapid growth without explanation signals potential risk 00:33:28 - Gerry Tsai’s momentum strategy and performance-chasing cycles 00:42:07 - How conglomerates used financial engineering to create illusory value Disclaimer: Slight discrepancies in the timestamps may occur due to podcast platform differences. BOOKS AND RESOURCES Join the exclusive TIP Mastermind Community. Learn[…]
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Polina Pompliano - What Truly Drives Successful People (Ep. 307)
Infinite Loops Mar 26, 2026 | 12:15 pmPolina Pompliano studies some of the most successful people in the world—and what she's found challenges how we think about success, creativity, and human behavior. In this episode of Infinite Loops, we explore the mental models behind high performers, why we misunderstand people (including ourselves), and what it really takes to see the world differently. From creativity and rationality to identity, media bias, and the hidden motivations driving success, this conversation is a deep dive into how great thinkers actually operate. Important Links: Check out Polina's new book: https://www.amazon.com/Hidden-Genius-Thinking-Successful-People/dp/0593715604 More from Polina Pompliano — The Profile: https://theprofile.substack.com
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IL47: The AI Revolution That Will Redefine What It Means to Be Human ft. Craig Mundie
Top Traders Unplugged Mar 25, 2026 | 04:00 amIn today’s episode we talk to Craig Mundie, formerly the Chief Technical Officer at Microsoft and a leading advocate for responsible development of artificial intelligence. He joins Kevin Coldiron to discuss his book, Genesis: Artificial Intelligence, Hope, and the Human Spirit co-authored with Eric Schmidt and Henry Kissinger. Mundie believes the timeline for AI’s impact on the economy is extremely compressed, with dramatic breakthroughs in energy and work happening in the next few years. We also discuss the long-term implications of AI-generated knowledge and solutions that will likely be beyond our understanding. What questions should we ask and what preparations should we make - both individually and collectively as citizens - to prepare this future?-----50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE-----Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.comAnd please share this episode with a[…]
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Ep. 1382: Joe Pine Interview with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio
Michael Covel's Trend Following Mar 23, 2026 | 02:00 amMy guest today is Joe Pine. He is an author, speaker, and management advisor to Fortune 500 companies and entrepreneurial start-ups alike. He is cofounder of Strategic Horizons LLP. He consults with numerous companies around the world, helping them embrace the ideas and frameworks he writes about, develop concepts for creating more economic value, and see those concepts become reality. The topic is his book The Transformation Economy: Guiding Customers to Achieve Their Aspirations. In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss: Evolution from experience economy to transformation economy Businesses guiding customers to achieve aspirations Charging based on outcomes instead of time Spheres of transformation health wealth wisdom purpose and meaning Role of AI and personalization in enabling transformation platforms Jump in! --- I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show. To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/ You[…]
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TIP801: Value Investing Meets Venture Capital w/ Kyle Grieve
We Study Billionaires - The Investor’s Podcast Network Mar 22, 2026 | 00:00 amIn today’s episode, Kyle Grieve discusses lessons from venture capital that long-term value investors can apply to improve decision-making. He explores concepts such as power laws, network effects, de-risking investments, and the importance of holding high-potential businesses. IN THIS EPISODE YOU’LL LEARN: 00:00:00 - Intro 00:03:23 - How venture capital power laws shape investing returns and portfolio outcomes 00:06:19 - Why a tiny number of winners dominate most long-term investing results 00:08:41 - Why selling potential power-law winners early can severely damage portfolio performance 00:08:41 - How modest portfolio contributors can evolve into massive long-term winners 00:09:21 - Why accepting losses is the cost of capturing outsized investing returns 00:11:25 - How Moore’s Law and Metcalfe’s Law create powerful technology-driven investment opportunities 00:13:34 - Why investors should scale positions as businesses become progressively de-risked 00:25:41 - How unpopular or overlooked businesses can generate exceptional long-term investment returns 00:32:24 - Why averaging up in strong businesses can outperform traditional value strategies 00:57:06 - How long-horizon arbitrage allows investors to benefit from fundamental business improvement Disclaimer: Slight discrepancies in the timestamps may occur due to podcast platform differences. BOOKS AND RESOURCES Join the exclusive TIP Mastermind Community. Learn how to join us[…]
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SI392: The Hidden Cracks in Systematic Strategies No One Talks About ft. Nick Baltas
Top Traders Unplugged Mar 21, 2026 | 04:00 amMarkets have shifted quickly in 2026, forcing systematic investors to reassess what is signal and what is noise. In this episode, Niels and Nick explore recent drawdowns, volatility in commodities, and how geopolitical shocks ripple through quantitative strategies. They unpack the role of QIS, the evolving structure of energy markets, and why some trends are holding while others fade. The conversation also challenges common assumptions about diversification, model design, and the growing influence of options markets. Rather than reacting to headlines, this episode focuses on how systematic investors interpret changing conditions and adapt without abandoning discipline.-----50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE-----Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.comAnd please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.Follow Nick[…]
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TIP800: Navigating an AI-Driven Market w/ François Rochon
We Study Billionaires - The Investor’s Podcast Network Mar 20, 2026 | 00:00 amOn today's episode, Clay is joined by François Rochon to discuss his 2025 annual letter and the key themes shaping markets in 2025. He also digs into his top holdings, including Constellation Software, Alphabet, and Meta. IN THIS EPISODE YOU’LL LEARN: 00:00:00 - Intro 00:02:18 - François's key takeaways and lessons from 2025 00:03:58- Why François views AI as a revolution on par with the early internet 00:07:04 - The circular investment dynamic in AI infrastructure and what it means for companies like Nvidia 00:11:46 - How Alphabet and Meta are using massive capex spending to both defend and grow their businesses 00:17:52 - Why François believes shares of Constellation Software are cheap despite the AI-driven sell-off in software stocks 00:30:03 - What made Mark Leonard one of François's favorite CEOs 00:42:09 - Why François sold CarMax after 18 years 01:11:29 - The three essential qualities every successful long-term investor must develop Disclaimer: Slight discrepancies in the timestamps may occur due to podcast platform differences. BOOKS AND RESOURCES Join the exclusive TIP Mastermind Community to engage in meaningful stock investing discussions with Stig, Clay, Kyle, and the other community members. Learn how to join us in Omaha for the Berkshire[…]
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Adam Mastroianni - Why Creativity Feels Like It's Dying (Ep. 306)
Infinite Loops Mar 19, 2026 | 12:15 pmIn this episode of Infinite Loops, we speak with Adam Mastroianni—experimental psychologist and sharp critic of modern culture and science. We ask, why does creativity feel like it's fading? From endless remakes to cultural sameness, Adam argues that as society becomes more stable and risk-averse, we may be unintentionally reducing the "deviance" that drives originality and breakthrough thinking. We also discuss why science should get weirder, how to fight credentialism, and the dangers of professionalization. Important Links: To learn more about Adam Mastroianni: https://www.adammastroianni.com/ Adam's Piece on the Decline of Deviance: https://www.experimental-history.com/p/the-decline-of-deviance Slime Mold Time Mold: https://slimemoldtimemold.com/ Our Conversation with Julian Gough: https://newsletter.osv.llc/p/the-egg-and-the-rock-ep-249
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ALO34: Building an Asset Owner Mindset in Modern Pension Investing ft. Dan Mikulskis
Top Traders Unplugged Mar 18, 2026 | 04:00 amIn this episode, Alan Dunne speaks with Dan Mikulskis, CIO of People’s Partnership, about the evolution of large pension funds and what it means to think like an asset owner. Managing over £40 billion for millions of members, Dan explains how scale changes the way portfolios are constructed, managers are selected, and partnerships are built. The conversation explores the balance between passive and active strategies, diversification beyond equities, and the growing role of private markets. Dan also shares insights on governance, investment philosophy, and why humility is essential when making asset allocation decisions in complex global markets.-----50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE-----Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.comAnd please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.Follow[…]
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Ep. 1381: Integrity with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio
Michael Covel's Trend Following Mar 16, 2026 | 02:00 amPlease enjoy my monologue Integrity with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio. This episode may also include great outside guests from my archive. --- I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show. To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/ You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/ Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast My social media platforms: Twitter: @covel Facebook: @trendfollowing LinkedIn: @covel Instagram: @mikecovel Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!
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Arkady Kulik - The Psychology of Self-Deception (Ep. 305)
Infinite Loops Mar 12, 2026 | 12:36 pmIn this episode of Infinite Loops, we sit down with venture capitalist and physicist Arkady Kulikov to explore the psychology behind founders, responsibility, and self-deception. Kulik discusses why the hardest problems in business are almost always human problems, how great founders deal with stress, and why the biggest lie entrepreneurs tell is often to themselves. He also explains how investors evaluate founder psychology, why difficult conversations are essential in business, and why resilience is more about adaptability than stubbornness. Important Links: Listen to our last conversation with Arkady here: https://www.infiniteloopspodcast.com/arkady-kulik-bridging-science-entrepreneurship-ep193/ Arkady's deep tech venture fund, rpv global: https://rpv.global/
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Ep. 1380: Bubble Time with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio
Michael Covel's Trend Following Mar 9, 2026 | 02:00 amPlease enjoy my monologue Bubble Time with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio. This episode may also include great outside guests from my archive. --- I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show. To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/ You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/ Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast My social media platforms: Twitter: @covel Facebook: @trendfollowing LinkedIn: @covel Instagram: @mikecovel Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!
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Angus Fletcher - The Biggest Mistake We Made About Intelligence (Ep. 304)
Infinite Loops Mar 5, 2026 | 13:15 pmIn this episode of Infinite Loops, Jim O'Shaughnessy sits down with Angus Fletcher, Professor of Story Science at Ohio State University's Project Narrative and author of multiple books at the intersection of narrative theory, psychology, and brain science. Angus' research challenges one of the most widely accepted ideas in modern culture: that the human brain works like a computer. Drawing on his work with U.S. Army Special Operations, he argues that humans think not in equations, but in actions and stories — and that modern education systems are failing to cultivate the kinds of intelligence needed to navigate the real world. Jim and Angus explore the difference between probability thinking and possibility thinking, why standardized education may be suppressing creativity, how stories shape strategy and leadership, and why the most successful innovators think like explorers rather than optimizers. Important Links: Read Angus' book — Primal Intelligence: The New Science of How We Think: https://www.amazon.com/Primal-Intelligence-New-Science-Think/dp/0593712974 Angus' Harvard Business Review Article — Your Brain Doesn't Work the Way You Think It Does: https://hbr.org/2025/01/your-brain-doesnt-work-the-way-you-think-it-does Learn more about Angus here: https://www.angusfletcher.co/
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Ep. 1379: Trend Following Plus Fitness with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio
Michael Covel's Trend Following Mar 2, 2026 | 03:00 amPlease enjoy my monologue Trend Following Plus Fitness with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio. This episode may also include great outside guests from my archive. --- I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show. To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/ You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/ Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast My social media platforms: Twitter: @covel Facebook: @trendfollowing LinkedIn: @covel Instagram: @mikecovel Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!
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10 Futures Markets to Get You Started Trading
Systematic Trend Following: A Retail Trader's Guide May 20, 2020 | 14:00 pm
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Start of Season 3. Introducing trend following system idea
Systematic Trend Following: A Retail Trader's Guide May 20, 2020 | 02:00 am
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Volatility Targeting & Issue/Update to new system
Systematic Trend Following: A Retail Trader's Guide May 20, 2020 | 02:00 am
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An Introduction to Futures Markets for Trend Followers
Systematic Trend Following: A Retail Trader's Guide Apr 7, 2020 | 00:00 amWe talk about some of the basics to futures with the retail trend follower in mind using crude oil as an example market. Contract structure, sizing, expirations, and rolling from contract to contract is covered. If you would like a copy of the presentation leave your preferred email in the comments. We reference Eurodollars a couple of times in this video but decided to split that off into another video so be sure to check that one out for more info.https://youtu.be/pQI1ZL_zNoYhttps://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLiWGC9_PMsWPohL8S6ceoOn3WWoq__ZB3
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Systematic Trend Following strategy example
Systematic Trend Following: A Retail Trader's Guide Apr 7, 2020 | 00:00 am**CHARTS ARE USED DURING THIS EXAMPLE/CONTENT. CONSIDER VIEWING THE YOUTUBE VIDEO FOR THIS**A follow up from Seth and myself's Q&A video yesterday. Much more to come and expand on this, but it visualizes a systematic, yet not automated, process. This process includes a complete strategy, although very basic and simple in nature, it is the foundation for so much of the beliefs and practices of Trend Followers.https://youtu.be/NXKs_fJd3gshttps://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLiWGC9_PMsWPohL8S6ceoOn3WWoq__ZB3
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Stock Trends Editorial
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Leadership Beneath the Surface: How Stock Trends Identifies System-Critical Equities
29 March 2026 Read more...
The broad market still reads as a rotation market rather than a generalized expansion phase. Energy, Materials, and Utilities remain the clearest sector-level leadership blocs, but the current Stock Trends dataset shows that a second layer of leadership is now becoming more visible beneath the sector averages. That secondary leadership is important because it does not present itself as broad participation. It appears instead through specific industry groups whose internal trend structure is materially stronger than that of their parent sectors. In this week’s data, the clearest examples are Semiconductors and Equipment, Telecommunications, Containers & Packaging, and Banking. -
Indexing Is the Baseline—Probability Is the Edge
24 March 2026 Read more...
The case for indexing continues to strengthen, and rightly so. The evidence is overwhelming: most active managers fail to outperform their benchmarks over time, and the costs of attempting to do so only compound the underperformance. For many investors, indexing has become not just a strategy, but the default solution. But the conclusion that often follows—that markets cannot be meaningfully outperformed—is where the interpretation begins to break down. The failure of traditional active management is not evidence that opportunity does not exist. It is evidence that non-probabilistic selection fails. -
Continuation, Not Expansion: What the Probability Structure Now Reveals
21 March 2026 Read more...
The current market is not offering investors the kind of broad speculative expansion that often defines the early phase of a powerful advance. Nor is it confirming a simple risk-off breakdown. The latest Stock Trends dataset points to something more disciplined. The probability structure remains constructive, but it is now being expressed primarily through continuation and consolidation rather than broad breakout expansion. -
When Headlines Darken but the Probability Structure Holds
14 March 2026 Read more...
The recent Stock Trends editorials argued that hard assets had become structural leaders and that capital was rotating across themes rather than collapsing into a simple risk-on or risk-off binary. This week’s data adds a new layer. The market’s probability structure has improved even as the macro headlines have become more hostile. That is a distinct signal, and it is coming directly from the Stock Trends Inference Model.
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