TSX Financials Bullish Crossover

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TSX Financials Bullish Crossover

Current Strategy Summary

Buys: 0 Sells: 0
Holdings: 15

Performance

2026 ytd: -8.3%
1 week: -1.5%
1 year: +28.5%
*5 year: +8.5%
*10 year: +4.1%
*since inception (32.5yrs): +7.0%
*avg annual return

Current Portfolio Report Portfolio History Report
(subscribers only - Login ID and password required)  

 

The TSX Financials Bullish Crossover Portfolio trading strategy:
BUY a TSX-listed Financials stock when:
tagged with a “Bullish Crossover”  indicator
SELL a stock when:
tagged with a “Bearish Crossover”  indicator
 
 
The money management rules for the portfolio are as follows:

Exposure to each position is limited to $10,000.

Transaction costs are factored into the cost of purchases and the net proceeds of sales at 1% in and 1% out, or 2% commission on a round trip.
 

Applying this very simple trading system on the Stock Trends 27-year historical data of TSX-listed financial stocks generates the following results:
 

ST TSX Financials Bullish Crossovers Portfolio Strategy Performance - 1995 to 2021:

Year Avg Invested Capital ($) Net Gain/(Loss) ($) ST Portfolio (%)* S&P/TSX(%) Difference (%)
2021 210,189 60,916 29.0 21.7 7.3
2020 54,906 16,759 32.4 2.7 29.7
2019 15,283 873 5.8 20.7 -14.9
2018 98,491 -18,067 -18.0 -12.3 -5.7
2017 135,660 989 0.7 6.0 -5.3
2016 125,660 9,256 7.4 17.5 -10.1
2015 70,566 -16,264 -23.1 -8.9 -14.2
2014 180,377 17,511 9.7 7.5 2.2
2013 171,132 48,118 28.2 10.3 17.9
2012 104,151 -9,428 -9.1 3.0 -12.1
2011 107,547 -10,754 -9.8 -11.1 1.3
2010 137,358 -5,219 -3.8 14.5 -18.3
2009 110,189 31,497 28.9 41.4 -12.5
2008 30,943 -26,357 -84.1 -39.9 -44.2
2007 162,264 16,457 10.1 7.1 3.0
2006 166,226 31,005 18.7 14.3 4.4
2005 182,075 47,016 25.8 21.9 3.9
2004 150,566 15,229 10.1 13.5 -3.4
2003 134,717 31,261 23.4 23.1 0.3
2002 75,660 -16,330 -21.3 -13.6 -7.7
2001 96,226 8,244 8.5 -13.8 22.3
2000 84,528 32,090 38.4 5.6 32.8
1999 33,019 -13,445 -40.4 29.6 -70.0
1998 73,019 -34,410 -46.4 -1.1 -45.3
1997 109,623 89,681 81.7 11.5 70.2
1996 101,698 70,469 69.4 25.1 44.3
1995 87,358 13,809 15.8 11.6 4.2
 
 
 

Trading Statistics

  
Total # of positions taken: 340
# of winning positions (winning %): 164 (48.2%)
Average gain(%) per winning position: 35%
Average loss(%) per losing position: 10%
Profit factor**: 3.1
Maximum gain(%) on a position: 370%
Maximum loss(%): -73%
Annualized return on average invested capital: 12.9%
Average invested capital: $110,786
Average # of positions held: 11
Average # of weeks invested in each position: 46

* trading stats compiled at December 31, 2021

 **Profit Factor = (% of winning trades X average $ gains on winning trades) / ABSOLUTE VALUE[(% of losing trades X average $ losses on losing trades)]

 

 

 

 

  

The current TSX Financials Bullish Crossover Portfolio report is published weekly. It shows current holdings, as well as current buy and sell transactions. Investors can follow the report to emulate the performance of the portfolio or use this model portfolio to adjust their own holdings in these important Nasdaq stocks.
 

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Stock Trends Editorial

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    War, Inflation, and Rotation: What Stock Trends Reveals After the Middle East Shock This week's market headlines have been dominated by war, oil, and inflation fears. However, the Stock Trends context indicates that this is not a broad liquidation. It is a disciplined rotation into sectors tied to scarcity, resilience, and security. Markets do not move from a blank slate. They rotate, they re-price, and they reveal where capital was already preparing to move before the headlines become obvious. This past week’s escalation in the Middle East has undeniably shaken investor confidence, but the latest Stock Trends dataset suggests that the deeper message is not indiscriminate panic. It is a reordering of leadership.
    07 March 2026 Read more...
  • Not Risk-On. Not Risk-Off. Rotation.
    Not Risk-On. Not Risk-Off. Rotation. Not Risk-On. Not Risk-Off. Rotation. In our recent editorial, The Hard Asset Regime Is Not a Trade — It’s a Structure, we examined the persistent leadership emerging in gold and materials and argued that real assets were no longer functioning as short-term hedges, but as structural participants in the market. The current Stock Trends dataset extends that thesis — but in a different direction. The 13-week ST-IM probability model is no longer pointing to a narrow leadership cluster. It is identifying a market redistributing capital across multiple durable themes simultaneously. This is not a simple “risk-on” environment. It is not a defensive “risk-off” retreat. It is rotation.
    02 March 2026 Read more...
  • The Hard-Asset Regime Is Not a Trade — It’s a Structure
    The Hard-Asset Regime Is Not a Trade — It’s a Structure Markets rarely move randomly. They rotate. They reallocate. They transition from one leadership regime to another. And when that transition is real, it shows up not in headlines — but in breadth. This week’s Stock Trends universe reveals something decisive. When we measure common stocks only (removing ETFs that duplicate underlying holdings), two sectors stand apart: Materials and Energy.
    21 February 2026 Read more...
  • Stock Trends Mid-Quarter Review: How the Year-End 2025 Themes Are Performing in Q1 2026
    Stock Trends Mid-Quarter Review: How the Year-End 2025 Themes Are Performing in Q1 2026 Halfway through Q1 2026, the question is no longer theoretical: Did the year-end institutional momentum and ST-IM Alpha themes actually guide investors effectively? With the updated February 13, 2026 Stock Trends dataset now in hand, we can measure the outcome directly — not against headlines, but against trend structure, relative strength, and momentum persistence. The short answer: the framework largely held — but leadership rotated exactly where the model suggested it might.
    14 February 2026 Read more...
View all Stock Trends Editorials
 
 

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