ETF Bullish Crossovers w/Momentum

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ETF Bullish Crossovers w/Momentum

Current Strategy Summary

Buys: 0 Sells: 1
Holdings: 48

Performance

2026 ytd: +1.3%
1 week: -1.3%
1 year: +17.3%
*5 year: +6.0%
*10 year: +7.2%
*since inception (17.5yrs): +7.4%
*avg annual return

Current Portfolio Report Portfolio History Report
(subscribers only - Login ID and password required)  

 

The ETF Bullish Crossover w/Momentum Portfolio trading strategy:
BUY a qualifying Exchange Traded Fund (ETF) when:
tagged with a “Bullish Crossover”  indicator, and
13-week Relative Strength Indicator (RSI) >= 110, and
weekly RSI +/-  is  +, and
weekly trading volume >= 1,000,000 shares
SELL a stock when:
tagged with a “Bearish Crossover”  indicator
 

 
* This strategy has been applied on a select group of over 1,000 U.S.-listed exchange-traded funds.
 
The money management rules for the portfolio are as follows:

Exposure to each position is limited to $10,000.

Transaction costs are factored into the cost of purchases and the net proceeds of sales at 1% in and 1% out, or 2% commission on a round trip.
 

Applying this very simple trading system on the Stock Trends historical data of a select group of US-listed exchange-traded funds generates the following results:
 
  

Trading Statistics

  
Total # of positions taken: 226
# of winning positions (winning %): 131 (58%)
Average gain(%) per winning position: 27%
Average loss(%) per losing position: 16%
Profit factor**: 2.3
Maximum gain(%) on a position: 170%
Maximum loss(%): -81%
Annualized return on average invested capital: 9.5%
Average invested capital: $198,604
Average # of positions held: 16
Average # of weeks invested in each position: 48

* trading stats compiled at December 31, 2021

 **Profit Factor = (% of winning trades X average $ gains on winning trades) / ABSOLUTE VALUE[(% of losing trades X average $ losses on losing trades)]

 

 

 

 

  

The current ETF Bullish Crossover w/Momentum Portfolio report is published weekly. It shows current holdings, as well as current buy and sell transactions. Investors can follow the report to emulate the performance of the portfolio or use this model portfolio to adjust their own holdings in exchange-traded funds.
 

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Stock Trends Editorial

  • War, Inflation, and Rotation: What Stock Trends Reveals After the Middle East Shock
    War, Inflation, and Rotation: What Stock Trends Reveals After the Middle East Shock This week's market headlines have been dominated by war, oil, and inflation fears. However, the Stock Trends context indicates that this is not a broad liquidation. It is a disciplined rotation into sectors tied to scarcity, resilience, and security. Markets do not move from a blank slate. They rotate, they re-price, and they reveal where capital was already preparing to move before the headlines become obvious. This past week’s escalation in the Middle East has undeniably shaken investor confidence, but the latest Stock Trends dataset suggests that the deeper message is not indiscriminate panic. It is a reordering of leadership.
    07 March 2026 Read more...
  • Not Risk-On. Not Risk-Off. Rotation.
    Not Risk-On. Not Risk-Off. Rotation. Not Risk-On. Not Risk-Off. Rotation. In our recent editorial, The Hard Asset Regime Is Not a Trade — It’s a Structure, we examined the persistent leadership emerging in gold and materials and argued that real assets were no longer functioning as short-term hedges, but as structural participants in the market. The current Stock Trends dataset extends that thesis — but in a different direction. The 13-week ST-IM probability model is no longer pointing to a narrow leadership cluster. It is identifying a market redistributing capital across multiple durable themes simultaneously. This is not a simple “risk-on” environment. It is not a defensive “risk-off” retreat. It is rotation.
    02 March 2026 Read more...
  • The Hard-Asset Regime Is Not a Trade — It’s a Structure
    The Hard-Asset Regime Is Not a Trade — It’s a Structure Markets rarely move randomly. They rotate. They reallocate. They transition from one leadership regime to another. And when that transition is real, it shows up not in headlines — but in breadth. This week’s Stock Trends universe reveals something decisive. When we measure common stocks only (removing ETFs that duplicate underlying holdings), two sectors stand apart: Materials and Energy.
    21 February 2026 Read more...
  • Stock Trends Mid-Quarter Review: How the Year-End 2025 Themes Are Performing in Q1 2026
    Stock Trends Mid-Quarter Review: How the Year-End 2025 Themes Are Performing in Q1 2026 Halfway through Q1 2026, the question is no longer theoretical: Did the year-end institutional momentum and ST-IM Alpha themes actually guide investors effectively? With the updated February 13, 2026 Stock Trends dataset now in hand, we can measure the outcome directly — not against headlines, but against trend structure, relative strength, and momentum persistence. The short answer: the framework largely held — but leadership rotated exactly where the model suggested it might.
    14 February 2026 Read more...
View all Stock Trends Editorials
 
 

Subscription Plans

STWR - Monthly

$19.95/Month

Monthly subscription plan to Stock Trends Weekly Reporter - pay your monthly subscription fees by having them automatically charged (PayPal only). Free 7-day trial period. Subscribers may cancel before the end of any subscription month.

STWR - 1 Year Prepaid Subscription

$199/Year

1 Year Prepaid subscription to Stock Trends Weekly Reporter. Save 16% off monthly rate!

STWR - 2 Year Prepaid Subscription

$299/2 Years

2 Year Prepaid subscription to Stock Trends Weekly Reporter. Save 37% off monthly rate!

STWR - 3 Year Prepaid Subscription

$399/3 Years

3 Year Prepaid subscription to Stock Trends Weekly Reporter. Save 44% off monthly rate!