ETF Bullish Crossovers w/Momentum

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ETF Bullish Crossovers w/Momentum

Current Strategy Summary

Buys: 0 Sells: 1
Holdings: 47

Performance

2026 ytd: +0.0%
1 week: -0.4%
1 year: +18.2%
*5 year: +6.0%
*10 year: +6.6%
*since inception (17.3yrs): +7.4%
*avg annual return

Current Portfolio Report Portfolio History Report
(subscribers only - Login ID and password required)  

 

The ETF Bullish Crossover w/Momentum Portfolio trading strategy:
BUY a qualifying Exchange Traded Fund (ETF) when:
tagged with a “Bullish Crossover”  indicator, and
13-week Relative Strength Indicator (RSI) >= 110, and
weekly RSI +/-  is  +, and
weekly trading volume >= 1,000,000 shares
SELL a stock when:
tagged with a “Bearish Crossover”  indicator
 

 
* This strategy has been applied on a select group of over 1,000 U.S.-listed exchange-traded funds.
 
The money management rules for the portfolio are as follows:

Exposure to each position is limited to $10,000.

Transaction costs are factored into the cost of purchases and the net proceeds of sales at 1% in and 1% out, or 2% commission on a round trip.
 

Applying this very simple trading system on the Stock Trends historical data of a select group of US-listed exchange-traded funds generates the following results:
 
  

Trading Statistics

  
Total # of positions taken: 226
# of winning positions (winning %): 131 (58%)
Average gain(%) per winning position: 27%
Average loss(%) per losing position: 16%
Profit factor**: 2.3
Maximum gain(%) on a position: 170%
Maximum loss(%): -81%
Annualized return on average invested capital: 9.5%
Average invested capital: $198,604
Average # of positions held: 16
Average # of weeks invested in each position: 48

* trading stats compiled at December 31, 2021

 **Profit Factor = (% of winning trades X average $ gains on winning trades) / ABSOLUTE VALUE[(% of losing trades X average $ losses on losing trades)]

 

 

 

 

  

The current ETF Bullish Crossover w/Momentum Portfolio report is published weekly. It shows current holdings, as well as current buy and sell transactions. Investors can follow the report to emulate the performance of the portfolio or use this model portfolio to adjust their own holdings in exchange-traded funds.
 

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Stock Trends Editorial

  • Stock Trends Year-End Analysis: Institutional Momentum, ST-IM Alpha, and the Road Into Q1 2026
    Stock Trends Year-End Analysis: Institutional Momentum, ST-IM Alpha, and the Road Into Q1 2026 As 2025 comes to a close, investors naturally ask whether the strongest trends visible at year-end represent durable opportunity—or merely seasonal noise. The Stock Trends framework addresses this question not by forecasting headlines, but by examining how trend structure, momentum and participation, and ST-IM forward opportunity align across different classes of capital. This year-end outlook integrates three complementary lenses that Stock Trends users can carry directly into Q1 2026: Large-cap institutional momentum — where capital can deploy at scale Top Trending momentum leadership — where price discovery is happening fastest Stock Trends Inference Model (ST-IM) — where forward return expectations and risk dispersion suggest true alpha opportunity
    29 December 2025 Read more...
  • From Silver’s Breakout to a Broader Metals Regime
    From Silver’s Breakout to a Broader Metals Regime The final trading week of the year is often dismissed as inconsequential. Liquidity thins, participation narrows, and many investors assume that meaningful signals will wait until January. Yet history shows that year-end positioning—especially in hard assets—often reveals more about institutional conviction than about seasonal noise. The Stock Trends framework does not speculate on holiday effects. It classifies what is happening beneath the surface. As holiday trading unfolds, the precious metals complex offers a clear case study in why disciplined trend analysis matters most when markets appear quiet. Earlier this month, we examined silver’s resurgence and the discipline required to participate without emotion. Today’s update allows us to ask a more important question: Has silver leadership expanded into a broader precious-metals regime, or is this still a narrow trade vulnerable to reversal?
    26 December 2025 Read more...
  • The Quiet Power of Hospital Consumables: Durable Trends Hidden in Plain Sight
    The Quiet Power of Hospital Consumables: Durable Trends Hidden in Plain Sight In markets where headline indexes appear steady but leadership narrows beneath the surface, the Stock Trends framework tends to guide investors toward a specific class of opportunity: durable trends supported by durable business structure. This week’s universe reinforces that late-cycle character—Bullish classifications remain dominant overall, yet momentum leadership is increasingly selective. It is in this environment that a largely ignored cohort deserves fresh attention: hospital consumables. These are the unglamorous, repeat-use products embedded deep within clinical workflows—dialysis supplies, catheters, blood collection systems, sterilization kits, and procedure disposables. They rarely make headlines, but they often exhibit the same technical signature Stock Trends users learn to respect: persistent trend behavior with corrections that are more often time-based than destructive.
    20 December 2025 Read more...
  • Holiday Tape in Consumer Discretionary: What 46 Seasons Reveal Through Stock Trends Indicators
    Holiday Tape in Consumer Discretionary: What 46 Seasons Reveal Through Stock Trends Indicators For Consumer Discretionary companies, the six weeks surrounding Black Friday and year-end are not just a retail storyline—they are a real-time referendum on consumer confidence, pricing power, and risk appetite. To test what this period actually means for investors, we analyzed the Stock Trends Consumer Discretionary universe across every year in the dataset, using a consistent six-week window (from the third week of November to the final trading week of December, based on weekly Friday closes). The objective was simple: does the Stock Trends framework—trend classifications, RSI relative strength, and volume tags—extract a repeatable signal from the holiday season? The answer is nuanced, but actionable.
    15 December 2025 Read more...
View all Stock Trends Editorials
 
 

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Monthly subscription plan to Stock Trends Weekly Reporter - pay your monthly subscription fees by having them automatically charged (PayPal only). Free 7-day trial period. Subscribers may cancel before the end of any subscription month.

STWR - 1 Year Prepaid Subscription

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1 Year Prepaid subscription to Stock Trends Weekly Reporter. Save 16% off monthly rate!

STWR - 2 Year Prepaid Subscription

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2 Year Prepaid subscription to Stock Trends Weekly Reporter. Save 37% off monthly rate!

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3 Year Prepaid subscription to Stock Trends Weekly Reporter. Save 44% off monthly rate!