Stock Trends


15 Dec

Holiday Tape in Consumer Discretionary: What 46 Seasons Reveal Through Stock Trends Indicators

For Consumer Discretionary companies, the six weeks surrounding Black Friday and year-end are not just a retail storyline—they are a real-time referendum on consumer confidence, pricing power, and risk appetite. To test what this period actually means for investors, we analyzed the Stock Trends Consumer Discretionary universe across every year in the dataset, using a consistent six-week window (from the third week of November to the final trading week of December, based on weekly Friday closes).

The objective was simple: does the Stock Trends framework—trend classifications, RSI relative strength, and volume tags—extract a repeatable signal from the holiday season? The answer is nuanced, but actionable.

11 Dec

Understanding Our Assumptions — A Decade Later

For decades, the Stock Trends framework has rested on a foundational analytical question: Can we infer future return tendencies from recurring patterns of trend, momentum, and trading activity?

In 2014, we formalized this question through the Stock Trends Inference Model (ST-IM), built on two basic premises:

  • Market conditions are non-specific to a particular security.
  • Market responses to these conditions are specific.

Those ideas remain central to Stock Trends today. But the investing world has changed. Academic research into momentum, trend-following, and behavioural finance has deepened; markets have experienced extreme macro cycles; and our own analytical tools have evolved dramatically.

A decade later, it is time to revisit the original assumptions, test them against modern evidence, and expand their meaning for today’s Stock Trends users.

11 Dec

Trading Nvidia with the Stock Trends RSI +/– Pattern Analysis Model

Nvidia’s extraordinary rise in recent years has made it a centrepiece of both long-term institutional portfolios and short-term trading desks. Yet few tools provide a disciplined, data-driven lens for navigating NVDA’s volatile weekly momentum. The Stock Trends RSI +/– Pattern Analysis model model is one of them—an evidence-based framework that converts historical price–benchmark relationships into probabilistic expectations of next-week performance. When applied to NVDA-Q, it becomes a powerful guide for traders seeking tactical entries, binary-style short-term trades, or precision timing for longer-term positions.

06 Dec

Silver’s Ascent and the Discipline of Stock Trends: How Trend Indicators and ST-IM Guidance Shape Today’s Opportunities

Silver’s remarkable advance into the final weeks of 2025 has not merely lifted the metal itself—it has broadened across miners, royalty companies, bullion funds, and leveraged silver proxies in a way rarely seen in the past decade. Investors watching this sector cannot help but ask whether the trend still offers opportunity or whether this is a moment that calls for caution. The Stock Trends framework provides the clarity required to navigate this environment with discipline rather than emotion.

01 Dec

Navigating Market Turmoil in December 2025 – How Stock Trends Guides Investors

December 2025 arrives under a cloud of uncertainty: a K‑shaped slowdown following a prolonged U.S. government shutdown, diverging consumer fortunes, and fading AI euphoria have set the stage for markets riddled with volatility. Central banks are on pause, oil faces looming oversupply, and investors are questioning whether the tech boom can sustain its lofty valuations. Against this backdrop, Stock Trends’ data‑driven framework offers a beacon, spotlighting where defensive strength and innovation can outshine the turmoil—and where caution is warranted in the weeks ahead.

24 Nov

TJX at New Highs — A Case Study in Long-Run Trend Persistence and Momentum Rotation

In the current Stock Trends data, almost 700 stocks are pressing to new 52-week highs despite late-year volatility in the broader equity benchmarks. Among these leaders, TJX Companies (TJX-N) continues to stand out not merely for its price strength today, but for its extraordinary multi-year trend persistence within the Stock Trends framework.

18 Nov

Two Decades of Trend Leadership, Risk Discipline, and Systematic Advantage

The investment world took notice this week as Berkshire Hathaway revealed a significant new equity position in Alphabet (GOOGL-Q). For a firm renowned for its deliberate, valuation-anchored decision-making, the entry into one of the world’s most dominant technology franchises carries weight. Yet for Stock Trends users, Berkshire’s move is not a surprise so much as a confirmation of a trend that the Stock Trends framework has identified and validated repeatedly for nearly twenty years.

17 Nov

Market Regimes at an Inflection Point: What Stock Trends Indicators Reveal About the Current Market Climate

The latest weekly distribution of Stock Trends indicators points to an important shift in the underlying market regime for both U.S. and Canadian equities. A close examination of the composite trend structure—Bullish and Bearish proportions, crossovers, momentum breadth, and trend age—suggests that the market environment is undergoing meaningful transformation. By relating these observations to the developing Stock Trends ML Causal AI epoch framework, we gain a deeper understanding of where the markets stand within broader macro and behavioural cycles.

13 Nov

Stock Trends Portfolio Strategies: A Data-Driven Review of Long-Term Performance

Stock Trends model portfolios translate the core principles of the Stock Trends Handbook into systematic investment strategies. Each portfolio is built on the same foundation: objective price trend classifications, moving average crossover behaviour, volume indicators, and relative strength measures. These models apply the Stock Trends indicators consistently across decades, allowing investors to see how disciplined, rules-based trend following performs through complete market cycles.

08 Nov

When the “Big Short” Turned Its Eye on Tech: Interpreting the Burry Shock Through Stock Trends Indicators

When the news broke that famed investor Michael Burry—whose 2008 “Big Short” foresight became legend—had placed large put options against Nvidia (NVDA) and Palantir (PLTR), the market reacted with a collective shudder. Within hours of the disclosure, technology shares that had led the 2025 rally wavered. Headlines proclaimed the “AI bubble” had met its doubter, and retail investors who had crowded into the artificial-intelligence narrative rushed to reassess. The initial pullback in high-beta technology stocks was swift, but not indiscriminate. Beneath the surface, the Stock Trends Weekly Reporter data from October 31 to November 7 revealed a precise rotation in trend strength—one that Stock Trends subscribers could see developing before it hit the newswires.

 

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  • There is a lot to be gained from comparing trends of how individual stocks are doing within a sector, as well as how the sector is performing relative to the broad market.

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Subscription Plans

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Monthly subscription plan to Stock Trends Weekly Reporter - pay your monthly subscription fees by having them automatically charged (PayPal only). Free 7-day trial period. Subscribers may cancel before the end of any subscription month.

STWR - 1 Year Prepaid Subscription

$199.00

1 Year Prepaid subscription to Stock Trends Weekly Reporter. Save 16% off monthly rate!

STWR - 2 Year Prepaid Subscription

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2 Year Prepaid subscription to Stock Trends Weekly Reporter. Save 37% off monthly rate!

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Stock Trends Editorial

  • Holiday Tape in Consumer Discretionary: What 46 Seasons Reveal Through Stock Trends Indicators
    Holiday Tape in Consumer Discretionary: What 46 Seasons Reveal Through Stock Trends Indicators For Consumer Discretionary companies, the six weeks surrounding Black Friday and year-end are not just a retail storyline—they are a real-time referendum on consumer confidence, pricing power, and risk appetite. To test what this period actually means for investors, we analyzed the Stock Trends Consumer Discretionary universe across every year in the dataset, using a consistent six-week window (from the third week of November to the final trading week of December, based on weekly Friday closes). The objective was simple: does the Stock Trends framework—trend classifications, RSI relative strength, and volume tags—extract a repeatable signal from the holiday season? The answer is nuanced, but actionable.
    15 December 2025 Read more...
  • Understanding Our Assumptions — A Decade Later
    Understanding Our Assumptions — A Decade Later For decades, the Stock Trends framework has rested on a foundational analytical question: Can we infer future return tendencies from recurring patterns of trend, momentum, and trading activity? In 2014, we formalized this question through the Stock Trends Inference Model (ST-IM), built on two basic premises: Market conditions are non-specific to a particular security. Market responses to these conditions are specific. Those ideas remain central to Stock Trends today. But the investing world has changed. Academic research into momentum, trend-following, and behavioural finance has deepened; markets have experienced extreme macro cycles; and our own analytical tools have evolved dramatically. A decade later, it is time to revisit the original assumptions, test them against modern evidence, and expand their meaning for today’s Stock Trends users.
    11 December 2025 Read more...
  • Trading Nvidia with the Stock Trends RSI +/– Pattern Analysis Model
    Trading Nvidia with the Stock Trends RSI +/– Pattern Analysis Model Nvidia’s extraordinary rise in recent years has made it a centrepiece of both long-term institutional portfolios and short-term trading desks. Yet few tools provide a disciplined, data-driven lens for navigating NVDA’s volatile weekly momentum. The Stock Trends RSI +/– Pattern Analysis model model is one of them—an evidence-based framework that converts historical price–benchmark relationships into probabilistic expectations of next-week performance. When applied to NVDA-Q, it becomes a powerful guide for traders seeking tactical entries, binary-style short-term trades, or precision timing for longer-term positions.
    11 December 2025 Read more...
  • Silver’s Ascent and the Discipline of Stock Trends: How Trend Indicators and ST-IM Guidance Shape Today’s Opportunities
    Silver’s Ascent and the Discipline of Stock Trends: How Trend Indicators and ST-IM Guidance Shape Today’s Opportunities Silver’s remarkable advance into the final weeks of 2025 has not merely lifted the metal itself—it has broadened across miners, royalty companies, bullion funds, and leveraged silver proxies in a way rarely seen in the past decade. Investors watching this sector cannot help but ask whether the trend still offers opportunity or whether this is a moment that calls for caution. The Stock Trends framework provides the clarity required to navigate this environment with discipline rather than emotion.
    06 December 2025 Read more...
View all Stock Trends Editorials
 
 

Subscription Plans

STWR - Monthly

$19.95/Month

Monthly subscription plan to Stock Trends Weekly Reporter - pay your monthly subscription fees by having them automatically charged (PayPal only). Free 7-day trial period. Subscribers may cancel before the end of any subscription month.

STWR - 1 Year Prepaid Subscription

$199/Year

1 Year Prepaid subscription to Stock Trends Weekly Reporter. Save 16% off monthly rate!

STWR - 2 Year Prepaid Subscription

$299/2 Years

2 Year Prepaid subscription to Stock Trends Weekly Reporter. Save 37% off monthly rate!

STWR - 3 Year Prepaid Subscription

$399/3 Years

3 Year Prepaid subscription to Stock Trends Weekly Reporter. Save 44% off monthly rate!