Trend Profile - Empire Co.
It's time to check-out at Empire Company.
01 Feb
It's time to check-out at Empire Company.
25 Jan
Gold bullion prices are still exhibiting a good long-term trend position, but gold producer stocks are not. A cautious time for investors in gold stocks like Eldorado Gold.
10 Jan
ARC Resources converted back to a corporate structure after years as an energy income trust. Will its blue chip status help it leave behind pre-conversion resistance levels?
04 Jan
As the new year begins, it's time to look back on how this column's recommendations performed in 2010.
20 Dec
It may be time for investors who stepped away from the insurers last year to embrace the more positive trends developing in the group now.
14 Dec
Many converted trusts strive to remain attractive to income investors, but they also garner new attention from investors more interested in capital gains.
07 Dec
Bullish investors looking to capture the rising fortunes of financial services stocks can trade the emerging trends of the group. Investment dealer Canaccord Financial fits the bill.
22 Nov
Semiconductor stocks are gaining price momentum. Look for the iShares PHLX SOX to rally above resistance.
15 Nov
Look for a continuation in BlackPearl Resource's bullish trend.
07 Nov
Bullish investor sentiment - possibly even speculation about industry consolidation – will push price momentum for Chemtrade Logistics ahead.
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The broad market still reads as a rotation market rather than a generalized expansion phase. Energy, Materials, and Utilities remain the clearest sector-level leadership blocs, but the current Stock Trends dataset shows that a second layer of leadership is now becoming more visible beneath the sector averages. That secondary leadership is important because it does not present itself as broad participation. It appears instead through specific industry groups whose internal trend structure is materially stronger than that of their parent sectors. In this week’s data, the clearest examples are Semiconductors and Equipment, Telecommunications, Containers & Packaging, and Banking.
The case for indexing continues to strengthen, and rightly so. The evidence is overwhelming: most active managers fail to outperform their benchmarks over time, and the costs of attempting to do so only compound the underperformance. For many investors, indexing has become not just a strategy, but the default solution. But the conclusion that often follows—that markets cannot be meaningfully outperformed—is where the interpretation begins to break down. The failure of traditional active management is not evidence that opportunity does not exist. It is evidence that non-probabilistic selection fails.
The current market is not offering investors the kind of broad speculative expansion that often defines the early phase of a powerful advance. Nor is it confirming a simple risk-off breakdown. The latest Stock Trends dataset points to something more disciplined. The probability structure remains constructive, but it is now being expressed primarily through continuation and consolidation rather than broad breakout expansion.
The recent Stock Trends editorials argued that hard assets had become structural leaders and that capital was rotating across themes rather than collapsing into a simple risk-on or risk-off binary. This week’s data adds a new layer. The market’s probability structure has improved even as the macro headlines have become more hostile. That is a distinct signal, and it is coming directly from the Stock Trends Inference Model. $19.95/Month
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