Trend Symbol Reference Guide

 

Stock Trends symbols and indicator values are used to quickly and visually communicate the results of our moving average trend analysis.

Trend Symbols – Quick Reference

Symbol Trend
Name
Trend
Category
13-week MA
vs.
40-week MA
Current Price
vs
13-week MA 'Envelope'
Trading
implication
Bullish Crossover
(New Bullish)

Bullish
Intersected
(13-wk
above 40-wk)
Above
lower limit
(-3%)
Buy
Signal
Bullish
(Strong Bullish)

Bullish
13-wk
Above
40-wk
Above
lower limit
(-3%)
Buy
Signal
Weak
Bullish

Bullish
13-wk
Above
40-wk
Below
lower limit
(-3%)
Hold/Sell
Signal
Bearish Crossover
(New Bearish)

Bearish
Intersected
(13-wk below
40-wk)
Below
upper limit
(+3%)
Sell
Signal
Bearish
(Strong Bearish)

Bearish
13-wk
Below
40-wk
Below
upper limit
(+3%)
Sell
Signal
Weak
Bearish

Bearish
13-wk
Below
40-wk
Above
upper limit
(+3%)
Monitor/Buy
Signal

 

The symbols are assigned to a stock based on the relationship of three values:
1. The stock’s Current Price (most recent Friday close).
2. The 40-week moving average price (40-week MA).
3. The 13-week moving average price (13-week MA). An envelope of +/- 3% around the 13-week MA is also used to determine the symbol applicable to each stock.

Each Trend Symbol falls into one of two Trend Categories – BULLISH or BEARISH, determined by the relationship of the 40-week and 13-week MA values.
If the 13-week MA is greater than (above) the 40-week MA, a stock is categorized as BULLISH. If the 13-week MA is less than (below) the 40-week MA, a stock is categorized as BEARISH.

Individual Trend Symbols are based on:
1. Whether the Trend Category has changed from the previous week, and
2. The relationship of the Current Price and an ‘envelope’ of plus/minus 3% around the 13-week MA value.

If the Trend Category has changed from the previous week (i.e. the 13-week MA has intersected the 40-week MA line), then the stock will be given either a Bullish Crossover or Bearish Crossover symbol -  or . These are also referred to as “Newly Bullish” and “Newly Bearish” symbols, and are only shown in the 1st week of a Trend Category change. Once a stock has moved into a new Trend Category, in future weeks it will display one of the other two symbols (a solid or empty arrow) within the category until it changes to the other Trend Category.

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Stock Trends Editorial

  • From Silver’s Breakout to a Broader Metals Regime
    From Silver’s Breakout to a Broader Metals Regime The final trading week of the year is often dismissed as inconsequential. Liquidity thins, participation narrows, and many investors assume that meaningful signals will wait until January. Yet history shows that year-end positioning—especially in hard assets—often reveals more about institutional conviction than about seasonal noise. The Stock Trends framework does not speculate on holiday effects. It classifies what is happening beneath the surface. As holiday trading unfolds, the precious metals complex offers a clear case study in why disciplined trend analysis matters most when markets appear quiet. Earlier this month, we examined silver’s resurgence and the discipline required to participate without emotion. Today’s update allows us to ask a more important question: Has silver leadership expanded into a broader precious-metals regime, or is this still a narrow trade vulnerable to reversal?
    26 December 2025 Read more...
  • The Quiet Power of Hospital Consumables: Durable Trends Hidden in Plain Sight
    The Quiet Power of Hospital Consumables: Durable Trends Hidden in Plain Sight In markets where headline indexes appear steady but leadership narrows beneath the surface, the Stock Trends framework tends to guide investors toward a specific class of opportunity: durable trends supported by durable business structure. This week’s universe reinforces that late-cycle character—Bullish classifications remain dominant overall, yet momentum leadership is increasingly selective. It is in this environment that a largely ignored cohort deserves fresh attention: hospital consumables. These are the unglamorous, repeat-use products embedded deep within clinical workflows—dialysis supplies, catheters, blood collection systems, sterilization kits, and procedure disposables. They rarely make headlines, but they often exhibit the same technical signature Stock Trends users learn to respect: persistent trend behavior with corrections that are more often time-based than destructive.
    20 December 2025 Read more...
  • Holiday Tape in Consumer Discretionary: What 46 Seasons Reveal Through Stock Trends Indicators
    Holiday Tape in Consumer Discretionary: What 46 Seasons Reveal Through Stock Trends Indicators For Consumer Discretionary companies, the six weeks surrounding Black Friday and year-end are not just a retail storyline—they are a real-time referendum on consumer confidence, pricing power, and risk appetite. To test what this period actually means for investors, we analyzed the Stock Trends Consumer Discretionary universe across every year in the dataset, using a consistent six-week window (from the third week of November to the final trading week of December, based on weekly Friday closes). The objective was simple: does the Stock Trends framework—trend classifications, RSI relative strength, and volume tags—extract a repeatable signal from the holiday season? The answer is nuanced, but actionable.
    15 December 2025 Read more...
  • Understanding Our Assumptions — A Decade Later
    Understanding Our Assumptions — A Decade Later For decades, the Stock Trends framework has rested on a foundational analytical question: Can we infer future return tendencies from recurring patterns of trend, momentum, and trading activity? In 2014, we formalized this question through the Stock Trends Inference Model (ST-IM), built on two basic premises: Market conditions are non-specific to a particular security. Market responses to these conditions are specific. Those ideas remain central to Stock Trends today. But the investing world has changed. Academic research into momentum, trend-following, and behavioural finance has deepened; markets have experienced extreme macro cycles; and our own analytical tools have evolved dramatically. A decade later, it is time to revisit the original assumptions, test them against modern evidence, and expand their meaning for today’s Stock Trends users.
    11 December 2025 Read more...
View all Stock Trends Editorials
 
 

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