Current Select stocks

  • 08 March 2014 |
  • Written by  Skot Kortje, Stock Trends Analyst
  • font size
  • Print

This week's Stock Trends 'Select' stocks and statistical inference model rankings of current Picks of the Week, S&P 100 stocks, and S&P/TSX 60 stocks. 

While Stock Trends reports are designed to highlight stocks that have triggered some aspect of traditional charting, the new inference model introduced in recent editorials is fundamentally a more data driven approach to the Stock Trends indicators. It is an apparatus that looks at statistically measured responses to a market condition defined by price trend and momentum. If a stock has certain market conditions, is there a statistical probability of future returns?

Now that we’ve been introduced to the elements of the model (see recent editorials), let’s look at what the current Stock Trends indicators say. Below are a series of heatmap images that show various rankings of the probable returns in the upcoming 13-week period. Those at the top of the heatmap have the highest probability of exceeding the base period random returns.
 
The colour coding indicates the relative returns above the base period returns (4-week: 0%, 13-week: 2.19%, 40-week: 6.45%). As the statistical mean of the returns generated by the Stock Trends indicator combinations out-perform the base returns the green colour is progressively darker. As the statistical mean of the returns generated by the Stock Trends indicator combinations under-perform the base returns the red colour is progressively darker. Returns centered around the period base returns are colour-coded yellow. The included Color Key illustrates the coding.
 
First we will look at the top 30 ranked ‘Select’ North American stocks. Select stocks must have Stock Trends indicator combinations that have a lower limit of its mean return confidence interval above the base period mean return for all three periods – 4-week, 13-week, and 40-week. These select stocks are then ranked by descending order of their probability of outperforming the base period mean random return. The assumed probability distribution is a normal curve.
 
In short, these stocks exhibit the Stock Trends indicator combinations with the highest probability of beating the mean return of randomly selected stocks. Future editorials will elaborate on the portfolio management implications of this ranking system. For now, let’s look at some analysis results:
 
 

Stock Trends inference model

Select Stocks - Top 30

 

Current Trend Listings of Select Top 30 stocks
 

Trend

Issue

Price($)

% chg

Vol(00s)

 

Hawaiian Holdings (HA)
14.20
17.9
154139
Gold Resource (GORO)
5.52
7.2
23076
 
Depomed Inc. (DEPO)
13.70
13.7
159944
Gol Linhas Aereas Intelig. SA (GOL)
4.42
-9.2
48506
 
Fair Isaac Corporation (FICO)
53.65
-0.2
10056
 
Emcore Corp. (EMKR)
5.16
5.7
10057
 
Mkt Vectors Biotech ETF (BBH)
99.88
-2.4
10260
 
Bellatrix Exploration (BXE)
8.95
5.9
69745
 
Zix Corporation (D) (ZIXI)
4.61
2.0
13777
 
Quantum Fuel Systems Tech. (QTWW)
10.25
18.8
87660
Cummins (CMI)
145.62
-0.2
62808
 
Seadrill Partners LLC (SDLP)
31.78
1.2
5573
 
NASDAQ Pr Income and Growth (QQQX)
18.50
1.1
2387
 
Media General (MEG)
17.91
-5.6
10951
 
Sinovac Biotech (SVA)
6.52
-0.8
23489
 
Jacobs Engineering Group (JEC)
63.09
4.0
49521
 
Endo International plc (ENDP)
73.76
-7.6
220337
Charter Communications (CHTR)
127.00
0.2
87261
 
Xilinx Inc. (XLNX)
53.03
1.6
186707
 
AMN Healthcare Services Inc. (AHS)
14.47
3.9
16981
 
Air Products & Chemicals (APD)
121.67
0.3
47689
 
Cimarex Energy (XEC)
114.21
-1.3
60310
 
CUI Global (CUI)
8.73
0.0
4092
 
Heico Corp. (HEI)
63.35
1.9
12675
 
Ctrip.com International (CTRP)
52.59
-2.6
146452
 
Rush Enterprises (RUSHA)
29.30
2.5
5680
 
TRW Automotive Holdings (TRW)
82.62
0.4
44648
 
Anworth Mortgage Asset Co (ANH)
5.09
-1.7
77612
 
IGM Financial (IGM)
54.65
1.2
9237
 
McKesson Corp. (MCK)
182.40
3.0
67988
 
 
 Subscribers to Stock Trends Weekly Reporter will find a new report listed under the header 'ST-IM Select stocks of the week' in the ST Filter Listings section.
 
 Below are the distributions of returns generated by the Stock Trends indicator combination now sported by Hawaiian Holdings (HA-Q), the top ranked Select stock.
Note: the sample density distribution is outlined in green. The assumed population distribution - a normal distribution - is outlined in blue. The vertical yellow line indicates the estimated population mean return. The vertical red line indicates the base return of a randomly selected stock.  
 
 
For  4-week CLOSE returns distribution estimation, with  95 % confidence, the  4-week CLOSE  mean return of the population of stocks
 with a similar Stock Trends indicator combination to  HA will be inside [ 1.978 %, 11.294 %]
[1] "With probability of  2.5% we will have a mean return below 1.978%"
 
 Estimated population mean return  6.64% and standard deviation of 19.85
 
 Normal Distribution
 For 4wk CLOSE P(R> 0)=63.09% probability of a return greater than the 4-week mean return of a randomly selected stock.
 
62.75% of sample returns are >0%
 
 
Note: the sample density distribution is outlined in green. The assumed population distribution - a normal distribution - is outlined in blue. The vertical yellow line indicates the estimated population mean return. The vertical red line indicates the base return of a randomly selected stock.  
 
For  13-week CLOSE  returns distribution estimation, with  95 % confidence, the  13-week CLOSE  mean return of the population of stocks
 with a similar Stock Trends indicator combination to  HA will be inside [ 10.276 %, 33.502 %]
[1] "With probability of  2.5 % we will have a mean return below 10.276%"
 
 Estimated population mean return  21.89% and standard deviation of 46.9
 
 Normal Distribution
 For 13wk CLOSE P(R> 2.19)=66.28% probability of a return greater than the 13-week mean return of a randomly selected stock.
 
63.04% of sample returns are >2.19%
 
 
Note: the sample density distribution is outlined in green. The assumed population distribution - a normal distribution - is outlined in blue. The vertical yellow line indicates the estimated population mean return. The vertical red line indicates the base return of a randomly selected stock.  
 
For  40-week CLOSE  returns distribution estimation, with  95 % confidence, the  40-week CLOSE  mean return of the population of stocks
 with a similar Stock Trends indicator combination to  HA will be inside [ 9.773 %, 37.583 %]
[1] "With probability of  2.5 % we will have a mean return below 9.773%"
 
 Estimated mean return  23.68% and standard deviation of 54.21
 
 Normal Distribution
 For 40wk CLOSE P(R> 6.45)=62.47% probability of a return greater than the 40-week mean return of a randomly selected stock.
 
55.81% of sample returns are >6.45%
 
 
Next we'll survey the mean return expectations of the current Picks of the Week, S&P 100 stocks, and S&P/TSX stocks. Here the stocks are ranked by their mean average returns across all three periods (4-week, 13-week, and 40-week). 
 
 

Picks of the Week

 

Current NYSE Picks

 
It should be noted that not all current Picks of the Week, or index components listed below have statistical inference ratings. Some Stock Trends indicator combinations do not provide a large enough sample size to make inferences about their population. The heatmap images displayed here are great for viewing relative performance expectations, but not the best to provide links to the Stock Trends Reports on the individual stocks. Below is a ranked table that provides the current trend listing of these Picks of the Week, with links to their Stock Trends Report pages.
 
Current Trend Listings of NYSE Picks of the week stocks
 

Trend

Issue

Price($)

% chg

Vol(00s)

 

Anglogold Ashanti Ltd. (AU)
18.62
5.9
160670
 
Global X Gold Explorers E.T.F. (GLDX)
16.19
5.7
5652
 
PetroQuest Energy (PQ)
5.17
9.3
53759
 
Dana Holding (DAN)
22.15
2.2
83552
 
Stage Stores (SSI)
24.36
23.0
54502
Weatherford (WFT)
17.07
2.4
539518
 
EMC Corp. (EMC)
27.04
2.5
970645
 
Cooper Cos. (COO)
136.48
6.5
39638
 
Carters Inc. (CRI)
77.48
2.9
33910
 
Appld Industrial Technologies (AIT)
51.66
1.2
7604
 
Western Gas Partners LP (WES)
64.39
1.7
10911
 
Service Corp. International (SCI)
19.63
5.0
111258
 
Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.B)
122.67
6.0
225745
 
Sovran Self Storage (SSS)
75.00
1.4
15939
 
Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM)
18.77
3.9
689911
 
Regency Energy Partners LP (RGP)
27.38
4.3
21744
 
Enbridge Inc. (ENB)
43.83
3.6
44262
 
Cablevision Systems (CVC)
18.15
3.1
137589
 
RealD Inc. (RLD)
11.50
4.1
15497
 
ELEMENTS Intl Commodity Agric. (RJA)
8.86
4.4
9428
 
Barnes & Noble (BKS)
21.20
10.7
92892
 
Materion Corp. (MTRN)
33.07
11.8
8897
 
Sprott Phys. Platinum & Palla. (SPPP)
9.82
7.0
17007
HDFC Bank (HDB)
37.33
11.1
75285
 
Apartment Invt & Mgmt Co. (AIV)
30.64
2.5
86576
 
STMicroelectronics (STM)
9.35
3.5
66572
 
E-TRACS UBS Long Platinum (PTM)
16.66
3.1
3118
Piedmont Natural Gas (PNY)
34.25
1.3
17919
 
Potash Corp. of Saskatchewan (POT)
34.69
4.2
344924
 
ELEMENTS Intl Commodity (RJI)
8.62
1.4
40932
 
Flaherty&Crumrine Pref. Secur. (FFC)
18.75
1.4
11653
 
Hecla Mining (HL)
3.46
2.4
237539
 
Ruckus Wireless, Inc. (RKUS)
15.19
8.5
103125
 
Westpac Banking (WBK)
30.76
2.0
6111
 
Wells Fargo Adv. Glb Div. Opp. (EOD)
7.80
1.2
13421
 
Healthcare Trust of America (HTA)
11.46
2.1
111653
 
Mrk Vectr Jr Gold Miner E.T.F. (GDXJ)
42.50
2.8
138210
 

 

 

Current Nasdaq Picks

 

 
 

Current TSX Picks

 

 
 

S & P 100 index stocks

 
 

S & P/TSX 60 index stocks

 
 
back to top

Subscriber Testimonials

  • I find your website and research very helpful in my stock trading. I have subscribed to several related services in the past and none present their work with “just the facts” as you. Please keep up the great work so that I can continue to learn! 

    Bryan E., Subscriber
  • Just thought I'd call to thank you, Skot. Stock Trends Weekly Reporter helped pay for my daughter's education!

    Peter H., Subscriber

  • I've followed a number of Stock Trends picks, and the methodology is solid.

    Doug B., Subscriber

  • Stock Trends information is part of the base information I review before making a trade.

    Subscriber
  • I have had the good fortune to be reasonably successful and enjoy the investment process. Your process would be recommended for both experts and those who are new to investing.

    Frank I., Subscriber
  • I've followed your recommendations since reading your columns in the Globe & Mail, and finding they published Stock Trends arrows in their financial listings. I do find them a guide to the general market and what I should be avoiding for declining chart trends.
    Has probably saved me the subscription by not rushing into hot stocks!

    Anthony D., Subscriber
  • Your report is an impressive, excellent tool and I have recommmended it to friends.

    Colin E., Subscriber

  • There is a lot to be gained from comparing trends of how individual stocks are doing within a sector, as well as how the sector is performing relative to the broad market.

    Dudley R., Subscriber

  • I am something of a momentum investor. I find Stock Trends useful as I can look at my portfolio as a “watch list” and quickly see where trends are declining in strength or reversing, so it is particularly useful as a tool in portfolio management regarding sales.

    William C., Subscriber
  • Thank you for your excellent work and kind approach to your customers.

    Odette C., Subscriber

  • Stock Trends Weekly Reporter is an easy way to pick up equities that represent an upward trend.

    Subscriber
  • An admitted cynic, it's obviously very high praise when he says he likes StockTrends because of its "simplicity, utility, openness, [and] honesty," and in addition to having "no hidden agenda" is "understandably documented [and] historically verifiable." And, he adds, "It lets me see a lot of things without doing a lot of work." Globe and Mail

    Paul W., Subscriber

  • I am fascinated with your service and methodology - it is very impressive. [...] Over the years I have concluded that there are many ways to approach stock investing, but once one has chosen a path, one is better off sticking to it.

    Bob E., Subscriber

  • I use Stock Trends to help direct my stock picks. Also, following the advice of Stock Trends I have religiously used stop-loss orders and have avoided hanging on to losing stocks for emotional reasons.

    John B., Subscriber
  • I am just writing to tell you of my appreciation of your service! It makes so much sense to me. You seem to be an oasis of stability and sensibility in a stockmarket jungle.

    Adrian S., Subscriber

  • You have created and maintained an amazing, highly educational program and I am grateful for your part in getting our retirement funds to the good place they are.

    Karin M., Subscriber
  • I want to thank you for posting such an excellent guide to technical analysis on the web. You have provided a great service to all of us novice investors.

    Michael C., Stock Trends user
  • I very much like the systematic approach to analyzing stock data, it fits my approach.

    Subscriber
  • Stock Trends analysis quantifies nicely the movement of individual stocks. I’ve found that if the technicals are out of synch with fundamental analysis, it is a wake-up call to make a decision. The Stock Trends Bull/Bear Ratio is useful in identifying major market bottoms and tops. It has always presented a good buying or selling opportunity.

    Charles G., Subscriber
  • Hence, anyone who had followed the "Stock Trends" line should have sold their Bre-X shares and, with the windfall, paid for a lifetime subscription to The Globe and Mail and more. Talk about return on investment!

    Muni P., Subscriber

Subscription Plans

Subscription Plans

STWR - Monthly

$19.95

Monthly subscription plan to Stock Trends Weekly Reporter - pay your monthly subscription fees by having them automatically charged (PayPal only). Free 7-day trial period. Subscribers may cancel before the end of any subscription month.

STWR - 1 Year Prepaid Subscription

$199.00

1 Year Prepaid subscription to Stock Trends Weekly Reporter. Save 16% off monthly rate!

STWR - 2 Year Prepaid Subscription

$299.00

2 Year Prepaid subscription to Stock Trends Weekly Reporter. Save 37% off monthly rate!

STWR - 3 Year Prepaid Subscription

$399.00

3 Year Prepaid subscription to Stock Trends Weekly Reporter. Save 44% off monthly rate!

Stock Trends Editorial

  • Long and strong - Bullish trends in specialized retailers
    Long and strong - Bullish trends in specialized retailers Amidst a market still digesting the Federal Reserve’s first rate cut in nine months, one theme stands out in the latest Stock Trends dataset: the remarkable resilience of retail leaders. While thousands of common stocks across NYSE, Nasdaq, and TSX are posting Strong Bullish signals, three consumer-facing companies — TJX Companies, O’Reilly Automotive, and Dollarama — hold the longest uninterrupted Bullish runs on their exchanges.…
    Read more...
  • From Banks to Bytes to Uranium: Strong Bulls Align with ST-IM Signals
    From Banks to Bytes to Uranium: Strong Bulls Align with ST-IM Signals On September 17, 2025, the U.S. Federal Reserve delivered its first interest rate cut in nine months, lowering the federal funds rate by 25 basis points to a new target range of 4.00%–4.25%. This was a response to clear signs of a cooling labor market—slower job growth, shorter workweeks, and rising unemployment in several cohorts. Although inflation remains above the Fed’s 2% target, policymakers signaled…
    Read more...
  • Money management and trading psychology: building a resilient trading plan that integrates with the Stock Trends decision-tree framework
    Money management and trading psychology: building a resilient trading plan that integrates with the Stock Trends decision-tree framework Financial markets are unpredictable. Even when a trading strategy has a positive expectancy, a few bad trades can wipe out an account if position sizes are too large or emotions override discipline. Academic studies show that how much capital is allocated per trade is more influential on long‑term returns than the specific trading system used. For example, research cited by position‑sizing specialist Van Tharp found that…
    Read more...
  • Stock Trends: The Human Side of Market Trends
    Stock Trends: The Human Side of Market Trends Markets don’t move on math alone—they move on people. The screens light up because millions of humans react to news, stories, and each other. Behavioral economics is the field that studies those reactions. This article introduces the big ideas, then brings the story up to date with automated bots and AI trading—and explains how the Stock Trends framework helps you navigate it all.
    Read more...
View all Stock Trends Editorials
 
 

Subscription Plans

STWR - Monthly

$19.95/Month

Monthly subscription plan to Stock Trends Weekly Reporter - pay your monthly subscription fees by having them automatically charged (PayPal only). Free 7-day trial period. Subscribers may cancel before the end of any subscription month.

STWR - 1 Year Prepaid Subscription

$199/Year

1 Year Prepaid subscription to Stock Trends Weekly Reporter. Save 16% off monthly rate!

STWR - 2 Year Prepaid Subscription

$299/2 Years

2 Year Prepaid subscription to Stock Trends Weekly Reporter. Save 37% off monthly rate!

STWR - 3 Year Prepaid Subscription

$399/3 Years

3 Year Prepaid subscription to Stock Trends Weekly Reporter. Save 44% off monthly rate!