Spotlight on Risk: Bullish Stocks Showing Signs of Weakness

  • 18 August 2025 |
  • Written by  Skot Kortje, Stock Trends Analyst
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In the August 15, 2025 update of  Stock Trends Weekly Reporter, a deeper analysis of the North American equity universe reveals a narrow cohort of stocks that, while still classified in bullish trend categories, may be showing signs of structural weakness. This analysis builds upon — and adds context to — our previous article, Stock Trends Insights: Market Breadth Across Sectors and Exchanges, which emphasized broadening strength across sectors. Here, we shift our attention to vulnerable elements within that strength.

To highlight potential downside risks, we apply a focused filter on the Stock Trends August 15 dataset, selecting only those stocks that appear to contradict the bullish narrative:

  • Trend: Bullish (ST BullishSmall) or Weak Bullish (ST WeakBullishSmall)
  • RSI: Under 100 (excluding potential data anomalies)
  • Trend Age (Bullish trend category trend counter): Greater than 26 weeks (indicating trend maturity)
  • 13-week and 40-week ST-IM estimates: Both negative
  • Liquidity screen: Traded Value (price × volume × 100) > $1,000,000

This stringent filter isolates a group of common stocks with maturing bullish trends and increasingly negative forward outlooks — a cautionary signal for trend-following investors who may otherwise overlook deteriorating conditions beneath the surface.

Filter Results: At-Risk Bullish Stocks

The following stocks meet all criteria and warrant closer monitoring by trend investors. These are not yet in a confirmed reversal, but their technical and forecast profile suggests the bullish thesis may be fading.

Note: The ST-IM 13-week and 40-week forward return estimates are available for individual stocks under the Trend Profile (subscribers only) of the stock's Stock Trends Report page, which is linked to for each stock below. See Stock Trends Inference Model.

Symbol (link to ST Report)CompanyTrendTrend Age (weeks)RSIST-IM 13wkST-IM 40wk
AEE Ameren Corporation ST BullishSmall 55 95 -0.719016 -3.168359
GB Global Blue Group Holding AG ST BullishSmall 63 93 -2.155909 -3.119952
KT KT Corporation ST BullishSmall 56 98 -1.026767 -2.422343
OCFT OneConnect Financial Technology Co. Ltd. ST BullishSmall 41 95 -1.750701 -0.903864
TXNM Texas New Mexico Power LLC ST BullishSmall 53 99 -0.141218 -1.257373
UGI UGI Corporation ST BullishSmall 46 92 -1.904909 -1.606464
CME CME Group Inc. ST BullishSmall 46 92 -1.663907 -1.408775
DUOT Duos Technologies Group Inc. ST WeakBullishSmall 40 72 -1.178355 -7.795327
EBMT Eagle Bancorp Montana Inc. ST BullishSmall 56 87 -3.744828 -0.858228
OPOF Old Point Financial Corporation ST BullishSmall 51 96 -1.212694 -2.988526
OPRT Oportun Financial Corporation ST WeakBullishSmall 37 83 -0.359091 -0.929073
OVBC Ohio Valley Banc Corp. ST BullishSmall 46 90 -0.807006 -1.547368
PLMR Palomar Holdings Inc. ST WeakBullishSmall 89 70 -0.170455 -7.210714
SSYS Stratasys Ltd. ST WeakBullishSmall 33 78 -2.595420 -1.164516
TGTX TG Therapeutics Inc. ST WeakBullishSmall 79 75 -0.076364 -3.434615
BLN Blackline Safety Corp. ST WeakBullishSmall 128 78 -0.468000 -2.319565
CIX CI Financial Corp. ST BullishSmall 50 95 -0.827121 -2.229134

Each of the stocks listed above presents characteristics that may lead to future classification as Bearish, particularly as earnings revisions, macroeconomic conditions, and technical momentum deteriorate. The extended age of their bullish trend may signal exhaustion — particularly where the Stock Trends Inference Model (ST-IM) projects negative expected returns over both 13-week and 40-week horizons.

Two At-Risk stocks 

CME Group Inc. (CME)

CME maintains a Bullish trend with a mature trend age (over 40 weeks), yet both its 13-week and 40-week ST-IM return forecasts are negative—highlighting latent fragility despite outward strength. This technical warning comes amid a backdrop of macro uncertainty: recent producer-price index data surprised on the upside, dampening expectations for imminent rate cuts and sparking rotation away from rate-sensitive exchanges. While Q2 earnings beat expectations, reporting $1.7 billion in revenue, EPS of $2.96, and record futures volumes. Investors should watch whether weakening rate sentiment undercuts CME’s near-term momentum, despite its strong fundamentals.

Stock Trends Report on CME Group Inc. CME

Stock Trends Report on CME Group Inc. CME STIM

 

Stratasys Ltd. (SSYS)

Stratasys is flagged as a newly Weak Bullish trend but flags elevated risk: its 13-week and 40-week projections are negative, and its RSI remains weak, suggesting limited upside. This technical signal aligns with recent earnings that, while showing a nudged Q2 revenue beat ($138.1M) and improved margins, included a lowered full-year guidance and mixed margins, triggering last week's 15% price sell-off on high volume (ST SolidStar2). Despite efforts to stabilize, including launching GrabCAD Print Pro™ 2025 to streamline additive workflows, Stratasys sits precariously between profitability gains and slowing demand in the broader 3D printing sector. As such, prolonged negative model projections signal caution for trend followers. Additionally, the Stock Trends RSI +/- Pattern Analysis for SSYS shows a low Pattern Profit Factor and a high probability of underperformance in the week ahead. 

Stock Trends Report on Stratasys Ltd. SSYS

Stock Trends Report on Stratasys Ltd. SSYS STIM

Stock Trends Report on Stratasys Ltd. SSYS RSI Pattern

 

Sectoral Context

While the broader sector breadth analysis from our previous article pointed to strength in areas like Consumer Discretionary and Financials, this filtered universe cuts across sectors — revealing vulnerabilities even within seemingly strong industries. In particular, some Financial Services and Consumer Cyclical stocks appear prominently in this filtered group.

This is reflective of the mixed macro signals currently influencing market sentiment. August inflation prints and renewed uncertainty over the U.S. Federal Reserve’s rate trajectory have cast a shadow over growth-sensitive sectors. Long-dated treasury yields remain elevated, dampening valuations and increasing refinancing risk — especially for firms with deteriorating balance sheet momentum.

What Stock Trends Users Can Do

Investors using the Stock Trends Weekly Reporter can replicate this type of risk filtering by applying a multi-layered approach across:

  • Trend Signal & Age: Use the Trend Age field (Trend Category counter) to identify mature or extended uptrends.
  • Volume & Liquidity: Cross-filter to ensure focus on tradable names.
  • Model Risk Assessment: Use the ST-IM forward return estimates (4-week, 13-week, and 40-week) to assess the trend’s probabilistic sustainability.
  • Industry & Sector Heatmaps: Pair with breadth views to identify divergence between strong sectors and weak constituents.

This type of analysis, empowered by the full Stock Trends dataset, ensures subscribers can proactively manage risk — not just chase upside. Staying vigilant for reversal signs within maturing trends is a hallmark of successful technical investing.

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