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Stock Trends Editorial

From Flash Crash to Rotation: The Probability–Payoff Map of a Rebuilding Market
The market’s October tremor—an abrupt but short-lived flash crash—has given way to a familiar pattern in the Stock Trends framework: the rapid repair of breadth and the birth of new trends. Where panic once pressed prices indiscriminately, order is returning through a disciplined sequence of new bullish signals, rebuilding sectors, and the subtle reorganization of leadership beneath the surface.

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Random Portfolios as a Benchmark: A Smarter Yardstick for Performance
Investors often compare performance to market indexes like the S&P 500, but traditional benchmarks have built-in biases. The S&P 500, for example, is heavily skewed toward large-cap stocks and “is not a good benchmark for measuring alpha” – it reflects a size-factor bias rather than pure manager skill. All major indexes systematically tilt toward certain factors (size, sector, value/growth, etc.), meaning they’re not truly passive…

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Using the Stock Trends Reports in Market Corrections
Sharp market selloffs are stressful… and useful. They create a live-fire laboratory where leadership quality is revealed in real time. In the Stock Trends framework, the most informative sequence is a stock that registers a New Weak Bullish () during the shock — a pullback statement in a bullish primary trend — and then, within a week, flips back to a Return to Strong Bullish (). That…

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Stock Trends Gauge of Investor Sentiment: A Market at the Crossroads of Renewal
The Stock Trends Gauge of Investor Sentiment has long served as a vital compass for interpreting the emotional currents that drive markets. By measuring the distribution of Bullish and Bearish Stock Trends indicators across all New York Stock Exchange issues, this gauge transforms the abstract notion of “market mood” into a quantifiable, observable pattern of investor behavior. Over the past two decades, it has proven…

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