Understanding Our Assumptions — A Decade Later

For decades, the Stock Trends framework has rested on a foundational analytical question: Can we infer future return tendencies from recurring patterns of trend, momentum, and trading activity?

In 2014, we formalized this question through the Stock Trends Inference Model (ST-IM), built on two basic premises:

  • Market conditions are non-specific to a particular security.
  • Market responses to these conditions are specific.

Those ideas remain central to Stock Trends today. But the investing world has changed. Academic research into momentum, trend-following, and behavioural finance has deepened; markets have experienced extreme macro cycles; and our own analytical tools have evolved dramatically.

A decade later, it is time to revisit the original assumptions, test them against modern evidence, and expand their meaning for today’s Stock Trends users.

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Navigating Market Turmoil in December 2025 – How Stock Trends Guides Investors

December 2025 arrives under a cloud of uncertainty: a K‑shaped slowdown following a prolonged U.S. government shutdown, diverging consumer fortunes, and fading AI euphoria have set the stage for markets riddled with volatility. Central banks are on pause, oil faces looming oversupply, and investors are questioning whether the tech boom can sustain its lofty valuations. Against this backdrop, Stock Trends’ data‑driven framework offers a beacon, spotlighting where defensive strength and innovation can outshine the turmoil—and where caution is warranted in the weeks ahead.

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Positioning for Opportunity: Trade Detente and Stock Trends Momentum

The easing of tensions between the world’s two largest economies has given markets a fresh narrative. By stepping back from new export restrictions and cutting key tariffs, the United States and China have removed some of the most disruptive threats hanging over global supply chains. For investors, this détente creates a backdrop of relative stability in which powerful price trends can resume and new trend leaders can emerge. The Stock Trends data provides a timely snapshot of where momentum is building and which industries stand to benefit most. In the weeks ahead, positioning portfolios to take advantage of this de-escalation while monitoring trend signals will be critical.

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Technology Sector Split: Hardware & Chips vs. Software – A Deep Dive with Stock Trends

The uncertain interest rate environment is evident in a number of sectors, and the stock market is always reflecting both the trend of the cost of capital and the anticipation of changes in it. The technology sector is especially sensitive to interest rates and generally feeds off the risk-on investor appetite supported by lower interest rates or expectations of relatively lower rates. But all technology stocks are not the same. The Stock Trends data shows how the hardware and software segments of the sector are showing distinct trend and momentum indicators, ST-IM forward return estimates, as well as relative valuation measures.

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Energy Transition & Nuclear Revival

Clean energy is entering a structural super-cycle. The International Energy Agency (IEA) estimates that global nuclear generating capacity will increase from about 417 GW in 2022 to roughly 620 GW by 2050, reflecting a steady commitment to low-carbon power in its Stated Policies Scenario. In addition, global nuclear power output is forecast to reach a new record high by 2025 as plants in France, Japan, China, India, South Korea and Europe restart or come online. More than 20 countries have signed a declaration to triple nuclear capacity by 2050, underscoring broad policy support for the technology. Demand for critical minerals such as uranium, lithium, and rare earths, and investments in grid resilience and electrification, are accelerating. Stock Trends Weekly Reporter (STWR) helps subscribers navigate this macro shift by filtering stocks through momentum-driven reports.

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Electrification Momentum: Interpreting Stock Trends Signals Across Stocks and ETFs

Stock Trends empowers investors to spot early opportunities by combining its proprietary trend indicators with a disciplined technical framework. Through weekly reports like the Top Trending Stocks and Low Volume Gains, along with Special Listings for ETFs—subscribers can systematically interpret market activity and assess trend strength across both equities and thematic funds.

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Why Travel’s Revival Makes This Expedition Cruise Stock Shine

Stock Trends helps investors spot early opportunities by blending proprietary trend indicators with industry research. In the post‑pandemic travel boom, Lindblad Expeditions Holdings Inc. (LIND‑Q) has emerged from our NASDAQ screeners as a timely and quality investment idea. This article explains how our reports identified LIND‑Q and how current travel and cruise industry data underpin the thesis.

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Cybersecurity Stocks in Focus: Bullish Signals from Stock Trends as Industry Fortunes Rise

 

Cybersecurity is now a pillar of the global digital economy. From securing AI workloads to defending Web3 infrastructure, companies that protect digital systems are essential players in the technology landscape. For investors, the cybersecurity sector is no longer speculative—it’s strategic.

This week’s Stock Trends indicator analysis affirms a decisive shift toward bullish momentum among leading cybersecurity names. Investors looking to align with the structural demand trends in AI, blockchain, and cloud computing are seeing validation through Stock Trends’ unique trend classification system.

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Stock Trends Indicator Distributions: A Historical Context and the Current Market Pulse

Each week, the Stock Trends system analyzes thousands of stocks from the NYSE, Nasdaq, NYSE American, and TSX exchanges, assigning a trend classification to each security based on its relationship to the 13-week and 40-week moving averages. This moving average study—a foundational method in technical analysis—provides insight into the primary and intermediate-term trends that drive investor sentiment and market momentum. The aggregated results of these trend classifications form the Stock Trends Indicator Distributions, offering a valuable snapshot of market health and trend direction across sectors and regions.

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Stock Trends Editorial

  • Stock Trends Year-End Analysis: Institutional Momentum, ST-IM Alpha, and the Road Into Q1 2026
    Stock Trends Year-End Analysis: Institutional Momentum, ST-IM Alpha, and the Road Into Q1 2026 As 2025 comes to a close, investors naturally ask whether the strongest trends visible at year-end represent durable opportunity—or merely seasonal noise. The Stock Trends framework addresses this question not by forecasting headlines, but by examining how trend structure, momentum and participation, and ST-IM forward opportunity align across different classes of capital. This year-end outlook integrates three complementary lenses that Stock Trends users can carry directly into Q1 2026: Large-cap institutional momentum — where capital can deploy at scale Top Trending momentum leadership — where price discovery is happening fastest Stock Trends Inference Model (ST-IM) — where forward return expectations and risk dispersion suggest true alpha opportunity
    29 December 2025 Read more...
  • From Silver’s Breakout to a Broader Metals Regime
    From Silver’s Breakout to a Broader Metals Regime The final trading week of the year is often dismissed as inconsequential. Liquidity thins, participation narrows, and many investors assume that meaningful signals will wait until January. Yet history shows that year-end positioning—especially in hard assets—often reveals more about institutional conviction than about seasonal noise. The Stock Trends framework does not speculate on holiday effects. It classifies what is happening beneath the surface. As holiday trading unfolds, the precious metals complex offers a clear case study in why disciplined trend analysis matters most when markets appear quiet. Earlier this month, we examined silver’s resurgence and the discipline required to participate without emotion. Today’s update allows us to ask a more important question: Has silver leadership expanded into a broader precious-metals regime, or is this still a narrow trade vulnerable to reversal?
    26 December 2025 Read more...
  • The Quiet Power of Hospital Consumables: Durable Trends Hidden in Plain Sight
    The Quiet Power of Hospital Consumables: Durable Trends Hidden in Plain Sight In markets where headline indexes appear steady but leadership narrows beneath the surface, the Stock Trends framework tends to guide investors toward a specific class of opportunity: durable trends supported by durable business structure. This week’s universe reinforces that late-cycle character—Bullish classifications remain dominant overall, yet momentum leadership is increasingly selective. It is in this environment that a largely ignored cohort deserves fresh attention: hospital consumables. These are the unglamorous, repeat-use products embedded deep within clinical workflows—dialysis supplies, catheters, blood collection systems, sterilization kits, and procedure disposables. They rarely make headlines, but they often exhibit the same technical signature Stock Trends users learn to respect: persistent trend behavior with corrections that are more often time-based than destructive.
    20 December 2025 Read more...
  • Holiday Tape in Consumer Discretionary: What 46 Seasons Reveal Through Stock Trends Indicators
    Holiday Tape in Consumer Discretionary: What 46 Seasons Reveal Through Stock Trends Indicators For Consumer Discretionary companies, the six weeks surrounding Black Friday and year-end are not just a retail storyline—they are a real-time referendum on consumer confidence, pricing power, and risk appetite. To test what this period actually means for investors, we analyzed the Stock Trends Consumer Discretionary universe across every year in the dataset, using a consistent six-week window (from the third week of November to the final trading week of December, based on weekly Friday closes). The objective was simple: does the Stock Trends framework—trend classifications, RSI relative strength, and volume tags—extract a repeatable signal from the holiday season? The answer is nuanced, but actionable.
    15 December 2025 Read more...
View all Stock Trends Editorials
 
 

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Monthly subscription plan to Stock Trends Weekly Reporter - pay your monthly subscription fees by having them automatically charged (PayPal only). Free 7-day trial period. Subscribers may cancel before the end of any subscription month.

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