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Stock Trends Editorial

Holiday Tape in Consumer Discretionary: What 46 Seasons Reveal Through Stock Trends Indicators
For Consumer Discretionary companies, the six weeks surrounding Black Friday and year-end are not just a retail storyline—they are a real-time referendum on consumer confidence, pricing power, and risk appetite. To test what this period actually means for investors, we analyzed the Stock Trends Consumer Discretionary universe across every year in the dataset, using a consistent six-week window (from the third week of November to the final trading week of December, based on weekly Friday closes). The objective was simple: does the Stock Trends framework—trend classifications, RSI relative strength, and volume tags—extract a repeatable signal from the holiday season? The answer is nuanced, but actionable.

15 December 2025 Read more...
Understanding Our Assumptions — A Decade Later
For decades, the Stock Trends framework has rested on a foundational analytical question: Can we infer future return tendencies from recurring patterns of trend, momentum, and trading activity? In 2014, we formalized this question through the Stock Trends Inference Model (ST-IM), built on two basic premises: Market conditions are non-specific to a particular security. Market responses to these conditions are specific. Those ideas remain central to Stock Trends today. But the investing world has changed. Academic research into momentum, trend-following, and behavioural finance has deepened; markets have experienced extreme macro cycles; and our own analytical tools have evolved dramatically. A decade later, it is time to revisit the original assumptions, test them against modern evidence, and expand their meaning for today’s Stock Trends users.

11 December 2025 Read more...
Trading Nvidia with the Stock Trends RSI +/– Pattern Analysis Model
Nvidia’s extraordinary rise in recent years has made it a centrepiece of both long-term institutional portfolios and short-term trading desks. Yet few tools provide a disciplined, data-driven lens for navigating NVDA’s volatile weekly momentum. The Stock Trends RSI +/– Pattern Analysis model model is one of them—an evidence-based framework that converts historical price–benchmark relationships into probabilistic expectations of next-week performance. When applied to NVDA-Q, it becomes a powerful guide for traders seeking tactical entries, binary-style short-term trades, or precision timing for longer-term positions.

11 December 2025 Read more...
Silver’s Ascent and the Discipline of Stock Trends: How Trend Indicators and ST-IM Guidance Shape Today’s Opportunities
Silver’s remarkable advance into the final weeks of 2025 has not merely lifted the metal itself—it has broadened across miners, royalty companies, bullion funds, and leveraged silver proxies in a way rarely seen in the past decade. Investors watching this sector cannot help but ask whether the trend still offers opportunity or whether this is a moment that calls for caution. The Stock Trends framework provides the clarity required to navigate this environment with discipline rather than emotion.

06 December 2025 Read more...