Random Portfolio benchmarks

Published in Stock Trends

The S&P 500 index is a size factor-based index that is not a good benchmark for measuring alpha (market intelligence). Naive portfolios generated by random sampling provide a better alpha benchmark.

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Stock Trends Editorial

TJX at New Highs — A Case Study in Long-Run Trend Persistence and Momentum Rotation
In the current Stock Trends data, almost 700 stocks are pressing to new 52-week highs despite late-year volatility in the broader equity benchmarks. Among these leaders, TJX Companies (TJX-N) continues to stand out not merely for its price strength today, but for its extraordinary multi-year trend persistence within the Stock Trends framework.

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Two Decades of Trend Leadership, Risk Discipline, and Systematic Advantage
The investment world took notice this week as Berkshire Hathaway revealed a significant new equity position in Alphabet (GOOGL-Q). For a firm renowned for its deliberate, valuation-anchored decision-making, the entry into one of the world’s most dominant technology franchises carries weight. Yet for Stock Trends users, Berkshire’s move is not a surprise so much as a confirmation of a trend that the Stock Trends framework…

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Market Regimes at an Inflection Point: What Stock Trends Indicators Reveal About the Current Market Climate
The latest weekly distribution of Stock Trends indicators points to an important shift in the underlying market regime for both U.S. and Canadian equities. A close examination of the composite trend structure—Bullish and Bearish proportions, crossovers, momentum breadth, and trend age—suggests that the market environment is undergoing meaningful transformation. By relating these observations to the developing Stock Trends ML Causal AI epoch framework, we gain…

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Stock Trends Portfolio Strategies: A Data-Driven Review of Long-Term Performance
Stock Trends model portfolios translate the core principles of the Stock Trends Handbook into systematic investment strategies. Each portfolio is built on the same foundation: objective price trend classifications, moving average crossover behaviour, volume indicators, and relative strength measures. These models apply the Stock Trends indicators consistently across decades, allowing investors to see how disciplined, rules-based trend following performs through complete market cycles.

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