Random Portfolio benchmarks

Published in Stock Trends

The S&P 500 index is a size factor-based index that is not a good benchmark for measuring alpha (market intelligence). Naive portfolios generated by random sampling provide a better alpha benchmark.

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I want to thank you for posting such an excellent guide to technical analysis on the web. You have provided a great service to all of us novice investors.
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Stock Trends analysis quantifies nicely the movement of individual stocks. I’ve found that if the technicals are out of synch with fundamental analysis, it is a wake-up call to make a decision. The Stock Trends Bull/Bear Ratio is useful in identifying major market bottoms and tops. It has always presented a good buying or selling opportunity.
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There is a lot to be gained from comparing trends of how individual stocks are doing within a sector, as well as how the sector is performing relative to the broad market.
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I am fascinated with your service and methodology - it is very impressive. [...] Over the years I have concluded that there are many ways to approach stock investing, but once one has chosen a path, one is better off sticking to it.
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Hence, anyone who had followed the "Stock Trends" line should have sold their Bre-X shares and, with the windfall, paid for a lifetime subscription to The Globe and Mail and more. Talk about return on investment!
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I've followed a number of Stock Trends picks, and the methodology is solid.
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I find your website and research very helpful in my stock trading. I have subscribed to several related services in the past and none present their work with “just the facts” as you. Please keep up the great work so that I can continue to learn!
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I am something of a momentum investor. I find Stock Trends useful as I can look at my portfolio as a “watch list” and quickly see where trends are declining in strength or reversing, so it is particularly useful as a tool in portfolio management regarding sales.
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I've followed your recommendations since reading your columns in the Globe & Mail, and finding they published Stock Trends arrows in their financial listings. I do find them a guide to the general market and what I should be avoiding for declining chart trends.
Has probably saved me the subscription by not rushing into hot stocks!
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I very much like the systematic approach to analyzing stock data, it fits my approach.
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Stock Trends Weekly Reporter is an easy way to pick up equities that represent an upward trend.
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Stock Trends Editorial

TJX at New Highs — A Case Study in Long-Run Trend Persistence and Momentum Rotation
In the current Stock Trends data, almost 700 stocks are pressing to new 52-week highs despite late-year volatility in the broader equity benchmarks. Among these leaders, TJX Companies (TJX-N) continues to stand out not merely for its price strength today, but for its extraordinary multi-year trend persistence within the Stock Trends framework.

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Two Decades of Trend Leadership, Risk Discipline, and Systematic Advantage
The investment world took notice this week as Berkshire Hathaway revealed a significant new equity position in Alphabet (GOOGL-Q). For a firm renowned for its deliberate, valuation-anchored decision-making, the entry into one of the world’s most dominant technology franchises carries weight. Yet for Stock Trends users, Berkshire’s move is not a surprise so much as a confirmation of a trend that the Stock Trends framework…

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Market Regimes at an Inflection Point: What Stock Trends Indicators Reveal About the Current Market Climate
The latest weekly distribution of Stock Trends indicators points to an important shift in the underlying market regime for both U.S. and Canadian equities. A close examination of the composite trend structure—Bullish and Bearish proportions, crossovers, momentum breadth, and trend age—suggests that the market environment is undergoing meaningful transformation. By relating these observations to the developing Stock Trends ML Causal AI epoch framework, we gain…

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Stock Trends Portfolio Strategies: A Data-Driven Review of Long-Term Performance
Stock Trends model portfolios translate the core principles of the Stock Trends Handbook into systematic investment strategies. Each portfolio is built on the same foundation: objective price trend classifications, moving average crossover behaviour, volume indicators, and relative strength measures. These models apply the Stock Trends indicators consistently across decades, allowing investors to see how disciplined, rules-based trend following performs through complete market cycles.

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