The recent Stock Trends editorials argued that hard assets had become structural leaders and that capital was rotating across themes rather than collapsing into a simple risk-on or risk-off binary. This week’s data adds a new layer. The market’s probability structure has improved even as the macro headlines have become more hostile. That is a distinct signal, and it is coming directly from the Stock Trends Inference Model.

Not Risk-On. Not Risk-Off. Rotation. In our recent editorial, The Hard Asset Regime Is Not a Trade — It’s a Structure, we examined the persistent leadership emerging in gold and materials and argued that real assets were no longer functioning as short-term hedges, but as structural participants in the market. The current Stock Trends dataset extends that thesis — but in a different direction. The 13-week ST-IM probability model is no longer pointing to a narrow leadership cluster. It is identifying a market redistributing capital across multiple durable themes simultaneously. This is not a simple “risk-on” environment. It is not a defensive “risk-off” retreat. It is rotation.