Chapter 1 - Introduction

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You are, by virtue of your visit to the Stock Trends website, a self-reliant investor who is looking for the right edge in your investment program. The right edge, of course, is usually measured by investment returns, but here we will generally refer to success in the stock market by the base motive that delivers those returns – profits! Not a dirty word. Your investment objective is to trade stocks profitably, and the mission of Stock Trends is to deliver the information you need to meet that objective.

Stock Trends is an analytical toolkit that allows investors to quickly scan through stock listings, categorizing price movements of individual stocks. It does this by defining a trend that relates the current price of a stock to its historical price. Rather than predicting stock price movements, Stock Trends reveals patterns and trends as they become apparent. Using Stock Trends, you can look for familiar patterns to determine when to buy and sell.

Finding value in the stock market

As a measure of value, the price of a good or service tells us something only when it is related to the price of another good or service, or to its price at another time. Something can be expensive or cheap only in reference to the price of something else. In the stock market there are many different ways of determining value. In fact, the investment industry devotes vast resources to defining and refining the concept of investment value. It is the research that fuels the industry. Billions of dollars worth of shares change hands on North American stock exchanges every year, and each trade represents investors' unending search for value.

The measure of value for each participant is mutable, variable, and unique. Information is the fuel that drives the market, but the uniqueness of each investor's measure of value gives the market its vitality. Two investors may have the same information in front of them but can act differently - either because they have interpreted the information in different ways, or they have established distinct degrees of risk they are prepared to face.

The Stock Trends approach

Stock Trends approaches stock evaluation from the branch of investment research known as technical analysis. As the name suggests, Stock Trends attempts to identify stock price trends as they reveal themselves. It does not predict stock movements, except in the patterns the trends imply. In other words, it identifies a trend, according to a strict definition, and lets investors make a link between how that trend evolves now and in the past.

It is important to understand that Stock Trends does not attempt to make valuations of the intrinsic value of a company’s stock. Instead, Stock Trends offers a systematic categorization of individual stocks based on the movement of stock prices. This analysis merely interprets what the market has to say about a stock – that is, it interprets the changes in the price and volume of a stock. In the mind of a market technician (another term for a technical analyst), the market knows best – and it delivers its verdict with every trading day. If we learn how to understand its message, trading profits can be delivered.

 

 

 Stock Trends Handbook - Contents

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Stock Trends Editorial

  • Stock Trends Year-End Analysis: Institutional Momentum, ST-IM Alpha, and the Road Into Q1 2026
    Stock Trends Year-End Analysis: Institutional Momentum, ST-IM Alpha, and the Road Into Q1 2026 As 2025 comes to a close, investors naturally ask whether the strongest trends visible at year-end represent durable opportunity—or merely seasonal noise. The Stock Trends framework addresses this question not by forecasting headlines, but by examining how trend structure, momentum and participation, and ST-IM forward opportunity align across different classes of capital. This year-end outlook integrates three complementary lenses that Stock Trends users can carry directly into Q1 2026: Large-cap institutional momentum — where capital can deploy at scale Top Trending momentum leadership — where price discovery is happening fastest Stock Trends Inference Model (ST-IM) — where forward return expectations and risk dispersion suggest true alpha opportunity
    29 December 2025 Read more...
  • From Silver’s Breakout to a Broader Metals Regime
    From Silver’s Breakout to a Broader Metals Regime The final trading week of the year is often dismissed as inconsequential. Liquidity thins, participation narrows, and many investors assume that meaningful signals will wait until January. Yet history shows that year-end positioning—especially in hard assets—often reveals more about institutional conviction than about seasonal noise. The Stock Trends framework does not speculate on holiday effects. It classifies what is happening beneath the surface. As holiday trading unfolds, the precious metals complex offers a clear case study in why disciplined trend analysis matters most when markets appear quiet. Earlier this month, we examined silver’s resurgence and the discipline required to participate without emotion. Today’s update allows us to ask a more important question: Has silver leadership expanded into a broader precious-metals regime, or is this still a narrow trade vulnerable to reversal?
    26 December 2025 Read more...
  • The Quiet Power of Hospital Consumables: Durable Trends Hidden in Plain Sight
    The Quiet Power of Hospital Consumables: Durable Trends Hidden in Plain Sight In markets where headline indexes appear steady but leadership narrows beneath the surface, the Stock Trends framework tends to guide investors toward a specific class of opportunity: durable trends supported by durable business structure. This week’s universe reinforces that late-cycle character—Bullish classifications remain dominant overall, yet momentum leadership is increasingly selective. It is in this environment that a largely ignored cohort deserves fresh attention: hospital consumables. These are the unglamorous, repeat-use products embedded deep within clinical workflows—dialysis supplies, catheters, blood collection systems, sterilization kits, and procedure disposables. They rarely make headlines, but they often exhibit the same technical signature Stock Trends users learn to respect: persistent trend behavior with corrections that are more often time-based than destructive.
    20 December 2025 Read more...
  • Holiday Tape in Consumer Discretionary: What 46 Seasons Reveal Through Stock Trends Indicators
    Holiday Tape in Consumer Discretionary: What 46 Seasons Reveal Through Stock Trends Indicators For Consumer Discretionary companies, the six weeks surrounding Black Friday and year-end are not just a retail storyline—they are a real-time referendum on consumer confidence, pricing power, and risk appetite. To test what this period actually means for investors, we analyzed the Stock Trends Consumer Discretionary universe across every year in the dataset, using a consistent six-week window (from the third week of November to the final trading week of December, based on weekly Friday closes). The objective was simple: does the Stock Trends framework—trend classifications, RSI relative strength, and volume tags—extract a repeatable signal from the holiday season? The answer is nuanced, but actionable.
    15 December 2025 Read more...
View all Stock Trends Editorials
 
 

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