As 2025 comes to a close, investors naturally ask whether the strongest trends visible at year-end represent durable opportunity—or merely seasonal noise. The Stock Trends framework addresses this question not by forecasting headlines, but by examining how trend structure, momentum and participation, and ST-IM forward opportunity align across different classes of capital.
This year-end outlook integrates three complementary lenses that Stock Trends users can carry directly into Q1 2026:
- Large-cap institutional momentum — where capital can deploy at scale
- Top Trending momentum leadership — where price discovery is happening fastest
- Stock Trends Inference Model (ST-IM) — where forward return expectations and risk dispersion suggest true alpha opportunity
1) Institutional momentum with forward return visibility
Institutional capital rarely “discovers” trends the way retail momentum does. It confirms them—after liquidity, scale, and durability are established. For that reason, large-cap analysis is essential for understanding the broader market regime heading into a new quarter.
In this editorial, the large-cap lens is strengthened by explicitly incorporating the ST-IM forward return estimates across three horizons:
- Expected return:
x4wk,x13wk,x40wk - Risk dispersion (standard deviation):
x4wksd,x13wksd,x40wksd - ST-IM Alpha Score (risk-adjusted): Expected return ÷ standard deviation
How to read the Large-Cap table: A higher ST-IM Alpha Score indicates stronger expected reward per unit of uncertainty. The 13-week horizon is particularly relevant for Q1 positioning, while the 4-week horizon captures near-term momentum and the 40-week horizon provides longer-cycle context.
Table 1 — Large-Cap Institutional ST-IM Alpha Opportunities (Q4 2025)
| Stock | Sector | Industry | Trend | RSI | RVOL | x4wk % | x4wk SD | ST-IM Alpha 4W | x13wk % | x13wk SD | ST-IM Alpha 13W | x40wk % | x40wk SD | ST-IM Alpha 40W | Composite Alpha |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coherent Corp. (COHR-N) | Technology | Scientific & Precision Equipment | 172 | 4.6 | 1.2 | 15.1 | 0.08 | 17.3 | 36.7 | 0.47 | 25.4 | 82.9 | 0.31 | 0.32 | |
| Coeur Mining Inc. (CDE-N) | Materials | Gold | 100 | 11.7 | 1.4 | 9.2 | 0.15 | 7.5 | 18.4 | 0.41 | 8.6 | 29.7 | 0.29 | 0.31 | |
| Ciena Corporation (CIEN-N) | Technology | Communications Equipment | 163 | 4.5 | 5.3 | 22.1 | 0.24 | 13.7 | 42.8 | 0.32 | 20.9 | 82.9 | 0.25 | 0.28 | |
| MongoDB Inc. (MDB-Q) | Technology | Cloud Infrastructure & Internet Services | 131 | 3.8 | 2.8 | 14.6 | 0.19 | 8.4 | 28.7 | 0.29 | 12.8 | 51.7 | 0.25 | 0.25 | |
| Hecla Mining Company (HL-N) | Materials | Precious Metals | 166 | 11.1 | 2.8 | 18.7 | 0.15 | 6.9 | 34.4 | 0.20 | 10.2 | 56.9 | 0.18 | 0.18 | |
| Tesla Inc. (TSLA-Q) | Consumer Discretionary | Electric Vehicle Manufacturers | 103 | 7.4 | 1.6 | 10.2 | 0.15 | 3.8 | 19.2 | 0.20 | 8.5 | 43.5 | 0.19 | 0.18 | |
| First Solar Inc. (FSLR-Q) | Energy | Solar Energy | 118 | 8.4 | 1.3 | 10.7 | 0.12 | 3.8 | 19.9 | 0.19 | 9.3 | 37.9 | 0.24 | 0.18 | |
| Teradyne Inc. (TER-Q) | Technology | Semiconductors Parts & Equipment | 141 | 3.9 | 2.7 | 21.1 | 0.13 | 6.2 | 32.7 | 0.19 | 15.9 | 84.7 | 0.19 | 0.17 | |
| Dollar General Corporation (DG-N) | Consumer Staples | Hypermarkets & Discount Stores | 129 | 3.9 | 0.7 | 14.2 | 0.05 | 5.7 | 30.1 | 0.19 | 12.3 | 58.8 | 0.21 | 0.15 | |
| Moderna Inc. (MRNA-Q) | Healthcare | Biotechnology | 122 | 8.8 | 0.9 | 14.4 | 0.07 | 5.2 | 28.4 | 0.18 | 9.7 | 47.8 | 0.20 | 0.15 | |
| Intel Corporation (INTC-Q) | Technology | Semiconductors | 98 | 3.5 | -0.5 | 12.0 | -0.04 | 5.7 | 31.5 | 0.18 | 7.6 | 40.8 | 0.19 | 0.12 | |
| Micron Technology Inc. (MU-Q) | Technology | Semiconductors | 174 | 7.8 | -3.0 | 13.1 | -0.23 | 6.5 | 38.0 | 0.17 | 8.0 | 54.6 | 0.15 | 0.05 | |
| AeroVironment Inc. (AVAV-Q) | Industrials | Aerospace & Defense | 81 | 6.8 | 1.7 | 13.7 | 0.13 | 4.5 | 28.9 | 0.16 | 5.2 | 49.9 | 0.10 | 0.14 | |
| Alcoa Corporation (AA-N) | Materials | Aluminum | 159 | 7.4 | 0.9 | 17.8 | 0.05 | 5.1 | 33.6 | 0.15 | 9.9 | 60.7 | 0.16 | 0.12 | |
| Exact Sciences Corporation (EXAS-Q) | Healthcare | Diagnostics & Screening | 182 | 4.1 | -0.1 | 19.0 | -0.01 | 4.5 | 35.9 | 0.13 | 25.0 | 98.3 | 0.25 | 0.11 | |
| Seagate Technology Holdings PLC (STX-Q) | Technology | Computer Hardware & Peripheral Equipment | 126 | 4.2 | -0.6 | 14.2 | -0.04 | 3.4 | 26.2 | 0.13 | 7.1 | 42.8 | 0.17 | 0.09 | |
| Advanced Micro Devices Inc. (AMD-Q) | Technology | Semiconductors | 129 | 4.2 | -0.1 | 11.2 | -0.01 | 2.7 | 21.8 | 0.12 | 5.6 | 44.3 | 0.13 | 0.08 | |
| Albemarle Corporation (ALB-N) | Materials | Special Chemicals | 163 | 6.7 | -1.8 | 17.3 | -0.10 | 2.6 | 32.7 | 0.08 | 11.1 | 66.2 | 0.17 | 0.04 | |
| Akamai Technologies Inc. (AKAM-Q) | Technology | Cloud Infrastructure & Internet Services | 111 | 3.9 | 0.0 | 10.8 | 0.00 | 1.1 | 20.6 | 0.06 | 6.4 | 39.3 | 0.16 | 0.06 |
2) Top Trending momentum leadership with ST-IM context
The Top Trending Stocks of the Week report (a key weekly filter report available to Stock Trends Weekly Reporter subscribers) answers a different question: where is price moving fastest right now, once trend quality and acceleration conditions are already confirmed? This list is intentionally size-agnostic—many names will not meet institutional constraints, and that is precisely why it is valuable as a leadership scanner.
Momentum leadership often appears first where price can revalue quickly. The additional step—critical for disciplined Stock Trends users—is evaluating whether that momentum also aligns with statistically favorable forward opportunity under ST-IM.
How to read the Top Trending table: This table separates “fast movers” from “high-quality opportunity” by combining momentum leadership with the same ST-IM forward returns and standard deviation measures used in the institutional lens. Higher ST-IM Alpha Scores indicate more attractive risk-adjusted opportunity.
Table 2 — Top Trending Stocks with ST-IM Alpha Context (Week Ending 2025-12-26)
| Stock | Sector | Industry | Trend | RSI | RVOL | x4wk % | x4wk SD | ST-IM Alpha 4W | x13wk % | x13wk SD | ST-IM Alpha 13W | x40wk % | x40wk SD | ST-IM Alpha 40W |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coherent Corp. (COHR-N) | Technology | Scientific & Precision Equipment | 172 | 4.7 | 1.2 | 15.1 | 0.08 | 17.3 | 36.7 | 0.47 | 25.4 | 82.9 | 0.31 | |
| Tower Semiconductor Ltd. (TSEM-Q) | Technology | Semiconductors | 170 | 2.8 | 6.5 | 26.3 | 0.25 | 18.1 | 53.8 | 0.34 | 38.1 | 176.1 | 0.22 | |
| Ciena Corporation (CIEN-N) | Technology | Communications Equipment | 163 | 4.5 | 5.3 | 22.1 | 0.24 | 13.7 | 42.8 | 0.32 | 20.9 | 82.9 | 0.25 | |
| Toro Corp. (TORO-Q) | Industrials | Maritime Shipping | 166 | 2.3 | 4.3 | 23.9 | 0.18 | 15.3 | 50.7 | 0.30 | 33.0 | 168.7 | 0.20 | |
| AXT Inc (AXTI-Q) | Technology | Semiconductors Parts & Equipment | 316 | 18.7 | 5.3 | 34.2 | 0.15 | 20.2 | 70.5 | 0.29 | 6.8 | 117.6 | 0.06 | |
| Victorias Secret & Co. (VSCO-N) | Consumer Discretionary | Apparel Retail & Accessories | 197 | 7.7 | 1.2 | 18.5 | 0.06 | 9.4 | 38.0 | 0.25 | 20.5 | 74.1 | 0.28 | |
| Axogen Inc. (AXGN-Q) | Healthcare | Surgical & Medical Apparatus | 183 | 4.0 | 6.8 | 23.1 | 0.29 | 11.7 | 46.2 | 0.25 | 25.0 | 91.9 | 0.27 | |
| FTC Solar Inc. (FTCI-Q) | Energy | Solar Energy | 159 | 1.6 | 3.0 | 21.6 | 0.14 | 11.2 | 44.3 | 0.25 | 26.0 | 91.3 | 0.28 | |
| FIGS Inc. Class A (FIGS-N) | Consumer Discretionary | Clothing Manufacturing | 172 | 3.7 | 2.4 | 18.9 | 0.13 | 10.8 | 44.1 | 0.24 | 14.5 | 59.4 | 0.24 | |
| Aris Mining Corporation (ARMN-A) | Materials | Gold | 167 | 3.3 | 3.0 | 16.5 | 0.18 | 10.1 | 42.7 | 0.24 | 16.5 | 76.3 | 0.22 | |
| Sprott Physical Silver Trust Units (PSLV-N) | Finance | Asset Management Services | 161 | 14.4 | 0.4 | 17.6 | 0.02 | 8.9 | 39.3 | 0.23 | 10.3 | 40.5 | 0.26 | |
| Belite Bio Inc (BLTE-Q) | Healthcare | Biotechnology | 212 | 1.7 | 3.9 | 23.0 | 0.17 | 7.8 | 37.9 | 0.21 | 14.6 | 85.1 | 0.17 | |
| Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals Inc. (ARWR-Q) | Healthcare | Biotechnology | 205 | 2.6 | 1.4 | 31.4 | 0.04 | 12.0 | 59.6 | 0.20 | 26.5 | 106.9 | 0.25 | |
| Sigma Lithium Corporation (SGML-Q) | Materials | Industrial Metals | 198 | 14.1 | 1.9 | 22.0 | 0.09 | 8.7 | 43.6 | 0.20 | 25.5 | 121.0 | 0.21 | |
| Hecla Mining Company (HL-N) | Materials | Precious Metals | 166 | 11.1 | 2.8 | 18.7 | 0.15 | 6.9 | 34.4 | 0.20 | 10.2 | 56.9 | 0.18 | |
| Immunome Inc. (IMNM-Q) | Healthcare | Biotechnology | 180 | 7.6 | 3.3 | 22.0 | 0.15 | 5.8 | 31.1 | 0.19 | 32.3 | 108.0 | 0.30 | |
| Tenax Therapeutics Inc. (TENX-Q) | Healthcare | Biotechnology | 167 | 11.0 | 1.6 | 21.3 | 0.08 | 6.9 | 37.8 | 0.18 | 17.7 | 74.4 | 0.24 | |
| Micron Technology Inc. (MU-Q) | Technology | Semiconductors | 174 | 7.8 | -3.0 | 13.1 | -0.23 | 6.5 | 38.0 | 0.17 | 8.0 | 54.6 | 0.15 | |
| SCHMID Group N.V. (SHMD-Q) | Technology | Electronic Parts & Equipment Manufacture | 171 | 3.1 | 0.6 | 18.5 | 0.03 | 5.5 | 32.7 | 0.17 | 16.1 | 75.9 | 0.21 | |
| Teva Pharmaceutical Industries Limited A (TEVA-N) | Healthcare | Pharmaceutical Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic | 167 | 2.7 | 0.9 | 18.6 | 0.05 | 5.5 | 33.1 | 0.17 | 12.7 | 68.8 | 0.18 | |
| Abivax SA (ABVX-Q) | Healthcare | Biotechnology | 165 | 9.9 | 2.5 | 17.0 | 0.15 | 5.6 | 33.0 | 0.17 | 9.1 | 57.7 | 0.16 | |
| Nutex Health Inc. (NUTX-Q) | Healthcare | Hospitals and Care Facilities | 165 | 5.5 | 1.9 | 18.4 | 0.10 | 6.3 | 37.2 | 0.17 | 14.6 | 63.4 | 0.23 | |
| Structure Therapeutics Inc. (GPCR-Q) | Healthcare | Biotechnology | 262 | 6.8 | 3.1 | 26.5 | 0.12 | 12.6 | 76.9 | 0.16 | 17.1 | 141.8 | 0.12 | |
| Zenas BioPharma Inc. (ZBIO-Q) | Healthcare | Biotechnology | 203 | 2.4 | 2.7 | 21.6 | 0.13 | 5.0 | 34.7 | 0.15 | 8.2 | 62.8 | 0.13 | |
| Alcoa Corporation (AA-N) | Materials | Aluminum | 159 | 7.4 | 0.9 | 17.8 | 0.05 | 5.1 | 33.6 | 0.15 | 9.9 | 60.7 | 0.16 | |
| Tyra Biosciences Inc. (TYRA-Q) | Healthcare | Biotechnology | 192 | 2.8 | 2.3 | 21.5 | 0.11 | 8.0 | 56.5 | 0.14 | 18.9 | 86.2 | 0.22 | |
| Relay Therapeutics Inc. (RLAY-Q) | Healthcare | Biotechnology | 159 | 5.0 | 1.1 | 17.5 | 0.06 | 6.0 | 42.9 | 0.14 | 12.6 | 71.1 | 0.18 | |
| Trio-Tech International (TRT-A) | Technology | Semiconductors Parts & Equipment | 235 | 8.7 | 2.2 | 30.8 | 0.07 | 6.5 | 50.1 | 0.13 | 26.8 | 179.4 | 0.15 | |
| Vicor Corporation (VICR-Q) | Technology | Electronic Parts & Equipment Manufacture | 219 | 4.2 | 1.7 | 28.0 | 0.06 | 6.5 | 51.3 | 0.13 | 24.7 | 123.9 | 0.20 | |
| Alumis Inc. (ALMS-Q) | Healthcare | Biotechnology | 260 | 2.6 | 5.2 | 42.3 | 0.12 | 7.1 | 57.3 | 0.12 | 32.6 | 137.9 | 0.24 | |
| Fortrea Holdings Inc. (FTRE-Q) | Healthcare | Life Sciences Equipment & Services | 192 | 3.4 | 0.9 | 21.2 | 0.04 | 6.0 | 49.9 | 0.12 | 21.6 | 87.5 | 0.25 | |
| Surrozen Inc. (SRZN-Q) | Healthcare | Biotechnology | 184 | 2.2 | 1.1 | 17.9 | 0.06 | 4.3 | 35.5 | 0.12 | 16.8 | 68.5 | 0.25 | |
| Kodiak Sciences Inc (KOD-Q) | Healthcare | Biotechnology | 181 | 7.5 | 0.7 | 19.4 | 0.03 | 4.8 | 42.6 | 0.11 | 11.4 | 76.4 | 0.15 | |
| Tandem Diabetes Care Inc. (TNDM-Q) | Healthcare | Surgical & Medical Apparatus | 179 | 6.2 | 1.8 | 28.2 | 0.06 | 5.4 | 47.6 | 0.11 | 5.4 | 72.6 | 0.07 | |
| Spyre Therapeutics Inc. (SYRE-Q) | Healthcare | Biotechnology | 194 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 23.0 | 0.09 | 3.8 | 37.5 | 0.10 | 16.0 | 78.3 | 0.20 | |
| Americas Gold and Silver Corporation no (USAS-A) | Materials | Silver | 168 | 6.6 | 4.1 | 17.9 | 0.23 | 3.0 | 29.8 | 0.10 | -2.3 | 31.0 | -0.08 | |
| Monte Rosa Therapeutics Inc. (GLUE-Q) | Healthcare | Biotechnology | 221 | 5.0 | 1.5 | 22.5 | 0.06 | 3.6 | 39.3 | 0.09 | 18.7 | 80.2 | 0.23 | |
| Owlet Inc. Class A (OWLT-N) | Healthcare | Healthcare Information Services | 171 | 3.7 | 0.7 | 20.7 | 0.03 | 3.7 | 41.8 | 0.09 | 1.3 | 64.6 | 0.02 | |
| Apogee Therapeutics Inc. (APGE-Q) | Healthcare | Biotechnology | 194 | 4.0 | 0.9 | 23.3 | 0.04 | 4.5 | 57.8 | 0.08 | 10.6 | 86.8 | 0.12 | |
| Albemarle Corporation (ALB-N) | Materials | Special Chemicals | 163 | 6.7 | -1.8 | 17.3 | -0.10 | 2.6 | 32.7 | 0.08 | 11.1 | 66.2 | 0.17 | |
| Omeros Corporation (OMER-Q) | Healthcare | Biotechnology | 338 | 51.9 | 1.8 | 31.8 | 0.06 | 3.5 | 48.8 | 0.07 | 10.4 | 79.4 | 0.13 | |
| Nexa Resources S.A. (NEXA-N) | Materials | Industrial Metals | 180 | 2.7 | -0.3 | 22.8 | -0.01 | 2.5 | 35.4 | 0.07 | 16.5 | 69.5 | 0.24 | |
| CalciMedica Inc. (CALC-Q) | Healthcare | Biotechnology | 194 | 2.9 | 4.3 | 93.8 | 0.05 | 3.7 | 65.2 | 0.06 | 18.1 | 101.4 | 0.18 | |
| Oruka Therapeutics Inc. (ORKA-Q) | Healthcare | Biotechnology | 200 | 4.1 | -1.2 | 21.8 | -0.06 | 0.6 | 37.2 | 0.02 | 16.4 | 94.7 | 0.17 | |
| Nurix Therapeutics Inc. (NRIX-Q) | Healthcare | Biotechnology | 207 | 4.4 | 0.8 | 25.8 | 0.03 | -6.7 | 35.2 | -0.19 | 1.9 | 72.4 | 0.03 | |
| Tactile Systems Technology Inc. (TCMD-Q) | Healthcare | Surgical & Medical Apparatus | 206 | 3.5 | 1.0 | 22.9 | 0.05 | -6.7 | 40.3 | -0.17 | 5.0 | 79.7 | 0.06 | |
| AnaptysBio Inc. (ANAB-Q) | Healthcare | Biotechnology | 204 | 5.2 | -0.3 | 18.5 | -0.02 | -2.8 | 35.3 | -0.08 | 3.6 | 57.4 | 0.06 | |
| Aimei Health Technology Co. Ltd (AFJK-Q) | 373 | 0.0 | -6.5 | 32.1 | -0.20 | -4.1 | 63.5 | -0.06 | 16.5 | 131.4 | 0.13 | |||
| Wave Life Sciences Ltd. (WVE-Q) | Healthcare | Biotechnology | 251 | 5.9 | 3.0 | 31.1 | 0.10 | -0.6 | 48.4 | -0.01 | -9.0 | 55.0 | -0.16 | |
| Central Puerto S.A. American Depositary (CEPU-N) | Utilities | Regulated Electric Utilities | 195 | 0.5 | -3.5 | 24.4 | -0.14 | -0.6 | 53.3 | -0.01 | 1.4 | 88.4 | 0.02 |
3) Convergence signal: the Top 20 composite ST-IM alpha opportunities for Q1 2026
The strongest evidence at year-end rarely comes from any single list. It comes from alignment—when institutional-eligible trends remain constructive while momentum leadership broadens in a way that is supported by forward opportunity measures.
To summarize that alignment into a practical Q1 roadmap, we blend both universes (large-cap institutional + Top Trending momentum) and rank candidates by a Composite ST-IM Alpha Score that emphasizes the Q1-relevant horizon:
- 50% weight: ST-IM Alpha (13-week)
- 30% weight: ST-IM Alpha (4-week)
- 20% weight: ST-IM Alpha (40-week)
How to read the Composite table: These are not predictions. They are probability-weighted opportunity candidates that score well across multiple horizons. Use this list as a disciplined starting point for deeper Stock Trends review (ST Report pages), position sizing, and risk control.
Table 3 — Top 20 Composite ST-IM Alpha Opportunities (Q1 2026)
| Rank | Stock | Source | Sector | Industry_Group | Trend | ST-IM Alpha 4W | ST-IM Alpha 13W | ST-IM Alpha 40W | Composite Alpha |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coherent Corp. (COHR-N) | Large-Cap Institutional | Technology | Hardware & Equipment | 0.08 | 0.47 | 0.31 | 0.32 | |
| 2 | Coeur Mining Inc. (CDE-N) | Large-Cap Institutional | Materials | Mining | 0.15 | 0.41 | 0.29 | 0.31 | |
| 3 | Tower Semiconductor Ltd. (TSEM-Q) | Top Trending Momentum | Technology | Semiconductors and Equipment | 0.25 | 0.34 | 0.22 | 0.29 | |
| 4 | Ciena Corporation (CIEN-N) | Large-Cap Institutional | Technology | Hardware & Equipment | 0.24 | 0.32 | 0.25 | 0.28 | |
| 5 | Axogen Inc. (AXGN-Q) | Top Trending Momentum | Healthcare | Medical Equipment & Supplies | 0.29 | 0.25 | 0.27 | 0.27 | |
| 6 | MongoDB Inc. (MDB-Q) | Large-Cap Institutional | Technology | Software & IT Services | 0.19 | 0.29 | 0.25 | 0.25 | |
| 7 | Toro Corp. (TORO-Q) | Top Trending Momentum | Industrials | Transportation | 0.18 | 0.30 | 0.20 | 0.24 | |
| 8 | FTC Solar Inc. (FTCI-Q) | Top Trending Momentum | Energy | Renewable Energy Producers | 0.14 | 0.25 | 0.28 | 0.23 | |
| 9 | Aris Mining Corporation (ARMN-A) | Top Trending Momentum | Materials | Mining | 0.18 | 0.24 | 0.22 | 0.22 | |
| 10 | FIGS Inc. Class A (FIGS-N) | Top Trending Momentum | Consumer Discretionary | Apparel & Luxury | 0.13 | 0.24 | 0.24 | 0.21 | |
| 11 | AXT Inc (AXTI-Q) | Top Trending Momentum | Technology | Semiconductors and Equipment | 0.15 | 0.29 | 0.06 | 0.20 | |
| 12 | Victorias Secret & Co. (VSCO-N) | Top Trending Momentum | Consumer Discretionary | Retail - Discretionary | 0.06 | 0.25 | 0.28 | 0.20 | |
| 13 | Immunome Inc. (IMNM-Q) | Top Trending Momentum | Healthcare | Biotechnology & Life Sciences | 0.15 | 0.19 | 0.30 | 0.20 | |
| 14 | Belite Bio Inc (BLTE-Q) | Top Trending Momentum | Healthcare | Biotechnology & Life Sciences | 0.17 | 0.21 | 0.17 | 0.19 | |
| 15 | Tesla Inc. (TSLA-Q) | Large-Cap Institutional | Consumer Discretionary | Vehicles | 0.15 | 0.20 | 0.19 | 0.18 | |
| 16 | First Solar Inc. (FSLR-Q) | Large-Cap Institutional | Energy | Renewable Energy Producers | 0.12 | 0.19 | 0.24 | 0.18 | |
| 17 | Hecla Mining Company (HL-N) | Large-Cap Institutional | Materials | Mining | 0.15 | 0.20 | 0.18 | 0.18 | |
| 18 | Sprott Physical Silver Trust Units (PSLV-N) | Top Trending Momentum | Finance | Asset Management Services | 0.02 | 0.23 | 0.26 | 0.17 | |
| 19 | Teradyne Inc. (TER-Q) | Large-Cap Institutional | Technology | Semiconductors and Equipment | 0.13 | 0.19 | 0.19 | 0.17 | |
| 20 | Sigma Lithium Corporation (SGML-Q) | Top Trending Momentum | Materials | Mining | 0.09 | 0.20 | 0.21 | 0.17 |
What this year-end configuration suggests for Q1 2026
When these three lenses are viewed together, the year-end message is coherent and constructive:
- Institutional-scale stocks show measurable forward opportunity—not just trend persistence
- Momentum leadership is expanding rather than collapsing
- ST-IM alpha is concentrated in identifiable sector and industry groups rather than scattered randomly
This configuration does not eliminate Q1 volatility. But it does argue that pullbacks should be interpreted first as tests within trends until the Stock Trends indicators show otherwise.
Guidance for Stock Trends users
- Respect the trend regime: stay aligned with confirmed Bullish and transitional structures until transitions deteriorate.
- Use Top Trending for leadership discovery: it reveals where price discovery is strongest right now.
- Use ST-IM Alpha Scores for opportunity prioritization: expected return matters most when evaluated against dispersion.
- Let transitions—not narratives—change your stance: the system’s strength is discipline under uncertainty.
The Stock Trends framework does not promise outcomes. It provides a systematic way to interpret what the market is already revealing. As 2025 closes and Q1 2026 begins, that evidence supports disciplined participation—selective, risk-aware, and grounded in trend confirmation.
Related items
- Understanding Our Assumptions — A Decade Later
- Trading Nvidia with the Stock Trends RSI +/– Pattern Analysis Model
- Navigating Market Turmoil in December 2025 – How Stock Trends Guides Investors
- TJX at New Highs — A Case Study in Long-Run Trend Persistence and Momentum Rotation
- When the “Big Short” Turned Its Eye on Tech: Interpreting the Burry Shock Through Stock Trends Indicators