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From Silver’s Breakout to a Broader Metals Regime

From Silver’s Breakout to a Broader Metals Regime

The final trading week of the year is often dismissed as inconsequential. Liquidity thins, participation narrows, and many investors assume that meaningful signals will wait until January. Yet history shows that year-end positioning—especially in hard assets—often reveals more about institutional conviction than about seasonal noise.

The Stock Trends framework does not speculate on holiday effects. It classifies what is happening beneath the surface. As holiday trading unfolds, the precious metals complex offers a clear case study in why disciplined trend analysis matters most when markets appear quiet.

Earlier this month, we examined silver’s resurgence and the discipline required to participate without emotion. Today’s update allows us to ask a more important question: Has silver leadership expanded into a broader precious-metals regime, or is this still a narrow trade vulnerable to reversal?

A macro backdrop that explains interest—but not commitment

Precious metals rarely move in isolation. They sit at the intersection of confidence, currency, and capital preservation. The macro backdrop heading into year-end 2025 has kept investors attentive: persistent sovereign debt stress, continued policy accommodation in practice, and a steady preference for hard-asset optionality.

These forces explain why metals remain relevant. They do not explain when capital stays committed. Stock Trends does not outsource decisions to narratives; it evaluates whether markets are structurally confirming those narratives through trend, duration, momentum, and breadth.

What has changed since early December

Silver remains the volatility engine of the complex, but the character of leadership has improved. The key shift in the 2025-12-26 Stock Trends update is not a “blow-off” acceleration—it is trend persistence. Pullbacks have largely occurred within trend rather than against it, and participation is broader than it was earlier this month.

Breadth snapshot across precious-metals universe
UniverseCountBullish countBullish %Avg trend wksMedian RSI
ETFs & Trusts 18 18 100.0% 65.8 116
Gold 124 110 88.7% 15.9 117
Precious Metals 32 29 90.6% 16.0 117
Silver 15 12 80.0% 17.2 129
Trend distribution by universe (counts)
UniverseST BullishSmallST WeakBullishSmallST BullishXoverSmallST BearishSmallST WeakBearishSmallNo trend
ETFs & Trusts 18 0 0 0 0 0
Gold 104 5 1 0 0 14
Precious Metals 27 1 1 1 1 1
Silver 12 0 0 1 0 2

Precious metals ETFs: structure over excitement

Broad metals vehicles offer a clean read on sector structure. In this update, the major precious-metals ETFs and trusts remain trend-qualified, with momentum oscillations contained within Bullish structure. That matters at year-end: weakness that fails to violate trend is often absorbed rather than extended.

Precious Metals ETFs & Trusts (Stock Trends update: 2025-12-26)
SymbolNameTrendTrend wksRSIRSI +/-Vol tagcloseVolume(100s)
BAR GraniteShares Gold Shares ST BullishSmall 107 115 + ST HollowStar2 44.66 21,081
GDX VanEck Gold Miners ETF ST BullishSmall 42 117 +   91.29 824,739
GDXJ VanEck Junior Gold Miners ETF ST BullishSmall 50 121 +   121.60 191,427
GLD SPDR Gold Shares ST BullishSmall 106 115 +   416.74 444,403
GLDM SPDR Gold MiniShares Trust ST BullishSmall 107 115 +   89.71 219,591
GOAU U.S. Global GO GOLD and Precious Metal M ST BullishSmall 42 111 +   45.51 2,656
IAU iShares Gold Trust ST BullishSmall 107 115 +   85.34 291,095
IAUM iShares Gold Trust Micro ST BullishSmall 107 115 + ST HollowStar2 45.18 81,711
OUNZ VanEck Merk Gold ETF ST BullishSmall 107 115 + ST HollowStar2 43.63 30,264
PALL abrdn Physical Palladium Shares ETF ST BullishSmall 25 145 +   175.91 47,223
PHYS Sprott Physical Gold Trust Unit ST BullishSmall 58 116 +   34.73 222,442
PHYS Sprott Physical Gold Trust ST BullishSmall 112 109 +   46.90 5,491
PPLT abrdn Physical Platinum Shares ETF ST BullishSmall 37 147 + * 220.14 125,982
PSLV Sprott Physical Silver Trust Units ST BullishSmall 38 161 +   26.04 710,232
PSLV Sprott Physical Silver Trust ST BullishSmall 34 141 +   32.74 17,405
SIL Global X Silver Miners ETF ST BullishSmall 38 123 +   90.01 120,737
SILJ Amplify Junior Silver Miners ETF ST BullishSmall 30 128 +   30.00 359,928
SLV iShares Silver Trust ST BullishSmall 38 163 +   71.12 3,202,541

Miners vs metals: confirmation, not warning

One of the most reliable cross-checks in the Stock Trends framework is confirmation between the underlying metals and the equities that produce them. When metals rise without miner participation, caution is warranted. This update shows the opposite: miners and related equities are broadly confirming the metals tone rather than diverging from it.

Gold: leadership with durability

Gold-related equities continue to present a constructive profile. Many of the more liquid names remain Bullish with meaningful trend age, while Weak Bullish phases have tended to resolve through time rather than breakdown. The table below highlights trend-qualified, liquid gold names currently showing the strongest momentum characteristics.

Gold Mining Leaders (trend-qualified, liquid names)
SymbolNameExchangeTrendTrend wksRSIVol tagcloseVolume(100s)
HYMC Hycroft Mining Holding Corporation Q ST BullishSmall 25 396 ST SolidStar2 25.01 477,537
GTWO G2 Goldfields Inc. T ST BullishSmall 21 175   6.50 19,610
ARMN Aris Mining Corporation A ST BullishSmall 36 167   16.81 64,976
ARIS Aris Mining Corporation T ST BullishSmall 37 154   22.28 32,372
CGAU Centerra Gold Inc. N ST BullishSmall 30 142   15.17 37,802
WGX Westgold Resources Limited Ordinary shar T ST BullishSmall 21 140 ST HollowStar2 5.92 6,384
PAAS Pan American Silver Corp. N ST BullishSmall 7 138   55.39 211,513
IAG Iamgold Corporation N ST BullishSmall 38 136 ST HollowStar2 17.61 208,071
SA Seabridge Gold Inc. (Canada) N ST BullishSmall 24 136   31.14 35,249
SBSW Sibanye Stillwater Limited - ADR N ST BullishSmall 17 135   15.70 247,080
USAU U.S. Gold Corp. Q ST BullishSmall 5 133   22.54 25,271
CG Centerra Gold Inc. T ST BullishSmall 30 133   20.36 24,593
DPM DPM Metals Inc. T ST BullishSmall 53 133 ST HollowStar2 43.28 22,473
EQX Equinox Gold Corp. A ST BullishSmall 21 132 ST HollowStar2 14.81 254,111
NGD New Gold Inc. A ST BullishSmall 21 131   9.33 579,001

Silver: still the volatility engine

Silver remains the most emotionally expressive component of the precious-metals universe. RSI behavior is typically more extreme, and corrections are sharper. The practical implication is straightforward: short-term traders must respect RSI swings, while intermediate-term participants should let trend persistence do the heavy lifting.

Silver Mining Leaders (trend-qualified, liquid names)
SymbolNameExchangeTrendTrend wksRSIVol tagcloseVolume(100s)
USAS Americas Gold and Silver Corporation no A ST BullishSmall 38 168   6.18 179,170
DSV Discovery Silver Corp. T ST BullishSmall 47 157 ST HollowStar2 8.78 84,567
USA Americas Gold and Silver Corporation T ST BullishSmall 38 153 ST HollowStar2 7.98 33,608
SVM Silvercorp Metals Inc. A ST BullishSmall 30 140   8.90 195,519
AG First Majestic Silver Corp. (Canada) N ST BullishSmall 5 138   17.42 698,812
AG First Majestic Silver Corp. T ST BullishSmall 5 129 ST HollowStar2 23.53 53,598
SVM Silvercorp Metals Inc. T ST BullishSmall 31 129   11.75 28,727
AYA Aya Gold & Silver Inc. T ST BullishSmall 5 126 ST HollowStar2 19.82 32,111
EXK Endeavour Silver Corporation (Canada) N ST BullishSmall 24 124   10.08 488,748
EDR Endeavour Silver Corp. T ST BullishSmall 23 114 ST HollowStar2 13.36 38,321
APM Andean Precious Metals Corp. T ST BullishSmall 5 113   10.10 12,773

Precious metals miners & royalty: breadth beyond a single trade

Beyond pure gold and silver classifications, the broader precious-metals mining and royalty universe is also trend-qualified. This breadth is important. Leadership that broadens tends to be more durable than leadership that concentrates.

Precious Metals Miners & Royalty (trend-qualified, liquid names)
SymbolNameExchangeTrendTrend wksRSIVol tagcloseVolume(100s)
HL Hecla Mining Company N ST BullishSmall 23 166   20.20 741,153
ABRA AbraSilver Resource Corp. T ST BullishSmall 5 150 ST HollowStar2 10.88 12,522
GMIN G Mining Ventures Corp. T ST BullishSmall 19 145 ST HollowStar2 42.66 11,848
ASM Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd. (Canada) A ST BullishSmall 5 129   6.88 189,757
MTA Metalla Royalty and Streaming Ltd - Ordi A ST BullishSmall 28 129   8.31 17,809
MUX McEwen Inc. N ST BullishSmall 25 124   20.10 38,729
BVN Compania de Minas Buenaventura S.A. ADR N ST BullishSmall 37 122   29.55 60,546
NUAG New Pacific Metals Corp. T ST BullishSmall 5 122 ST HollowStar2 5.13 6,014
ASM Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd. T ST BullishSmall 5 121 ST HollowStar2 9.26 13,086
TFPM Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp. N ST BullishSmall 41 119   35.49 26,186
PPTA Perpetua Resources Corp. Q ST BullishSmall 25 117 ST HollowStar2 25.93 62,336
VOXR Vox Royalty Corp. Q ST BullishSmall 21 117   5.09 20,355

Platinum and palladium: early signals, not conclusions

Smaller precious metals deserve attention not because they demand action, but because they can provide early signals. In this update, platinum and palladium proxies remain trend-qualified. History cautions against overconfidence in these thinner markets, so the Stock Trends approach is to monitor early classification—not chase it.

Risk management: why discipline matters more at year-end

Holiday-shortened weeks can exaggerate emotional interpretation while suppressing liquidity. Stock Trends mitigates this by anchoring decisions in trend first and using momentum as confirmation. The primary risk at this stage is not volatility—it is confusing persistence with inevitability. Stock Trends does not predict tops; it exits weakness when it appears.

Strategic takeaways

  • Precious metals remain strategically relevant into year-end.
  • Silver leadership is intact, but it is no longer isolated.
  • Breadth has improved across miners and metals proxies.
  • Trend age matters more than short-term excitement.
  • Patience is a position—especially late in the calendar year.

Entering 2026 with structure, not speculation

Precious metals have quietly shifted from reactive hedges to trend-qualified assets. This is not a market demanding urgency. It is one rewarding discipline. The Stock Trends user enters the new year with a framework built for exactly this environment—one that replaces emotion with classification and speculation with structure.